Tag: hurricane modeling

NOAA Pioneers New Ways to Advance Hurricane Forecasting

November 30th marks the official end to the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season. Scientists and forecasters from across NOAA pushed boundaries as they worked throughout this active season to conduct crucial tropical cyclone research that will strengthen our ability to forecast future tropical cyclone development and better protect those most affected.

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The Future of Hurricane Forecasting: Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System

AOML’s Hurricane Modeling Group was founded in 2007 to advance hurricane forecast models through development and targeted research. From inception, the team has worked to improve NOAA’s hurricane modeling systems; first with the legacy Hurricane Weather Research Forecast (HWRF) model, and now with its transition to the next generation model, Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS).

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Hurricane Model that Follows Multiple Storms Improves Intensity Forecasts

Warning the public of the damaging winds in tropical cyclones is critical for safeguarding communities in harm’s way. A new study by hurricane scientists at AOML is the first to quantify the value added to tropical cyclone intensity forecasts by storm-­following nests. The research, published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, demonstrates that storm-­following nests applied to multiple hurricanes in the same forecast cycle can improve intensity predictions by as much as 30%.

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Hurricane Modeling and Prediction Program

AOML's Hurricane Modeling & Prediction Program Creating Next Generation Hurricane Modeling Systems JUMP TO MODEL VIEWER OR SCROLL TO LEARN MORE Who We Are AOML’s Hurricane Modeling Group was founded in 2007 to advance hurricane forecast models through development and targeted research. Our scientists are from the diverse fields of meteorology, hurricane modeling, and computer [...]
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