HRD seminar – Dr. Jonathan Poterjoy, NCAR/ASP – 10 May 2016
Dr. Poterjoy presented a seminar on “Probabilistic Storm-Scale Analysis and Prediction Using a Non-Parametric Ensemble Filter: Implications for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting”. Abstract: Initial condition uncertainty remains a major factor contributing to forecast errors for tropical cyclones and mesoscale convective systems. Data assimilation strategies based on linear/Gaussian methods, such as ensemble Kalman filters and ensemble-variational hybrids, currently provide the best […]

