Paper describing the forecast techniques available to National Hurricane Center specialists published in Weather and Forecasting

This manuscript describes  the development of a set of simpler models (referred to as the National Hurricane Center guidance suite) that are currently utilized by the National Hurricane Center both for the forecasting of tropical cyclone track, intensity, and structure and for assessing the skill of other more sophisticated numerical models.  A description of the recent modifications that have been made to improve the models comprising the National Hurricane Center guidance suite is also presented.

For more information, contact aoml.communications@noaa.gov. The paper can be found at https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0039.1. This research was partially supported by the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program (HFIP) through grants NA19OAR4320073 and NA19OAR0220086.