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Return to HRD mission statement
Hurricane Climate Studies
Principal Investigators:
Stanley Goldenberg
Jason Dunion
Chris Landsea (TPC)
Objectives: To
improve our basic physical understanding and forecasts of
seasonal to multidecadal tropical cyclone activity, climatological
atmospheric and oceanic conditions, and economic and societal
impact. Improve the historical hurricane database through
re-analysis. Create better skill measures for El Niño
forecasts.
Investigations:
•
NOAA seasonal hurricane forecasts
•
Atlantic Hurricane Reanalysis Project
•
Long-term variability of late season hurricanes
•
Jordan sounding update
References:
-
Goldenberg, S.B., C.W. Landsea, A.M. Mestas-Nu?ez, and W.M.
Gray "The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity :
Causes and implications" Science 2001 v.293 no.5529
pp.474-479
-
Landsea, C.W. Comment on "Changes in the Rates of North
Atlantic Major Hurricane Activity During the 20th Century"
July 15, 2001 Geophysical Research Letters Vol. 28
No. 14, pp. 2871-2872
- Landsea,C.W.,
Knaff,J.A., 2000: "How much skill was there in forecasting the very strong
1997-98 El Nino?" Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,
v.81, pp.2107-2119.
-
Landsea,
C. W., 2000: "El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the seasonal predictability
of tropical cyclones" El Niño and the Southern
Oscillation : Multiscale Variability and Global and Regional
Impacts, edited by H. F. Diaz and V. Markgraf.
pp.149-181
-
Landsea,
C. W., 2000: "Climate variability of tropical cyclones: Past, Present and
Future" Storms edited by R. A. Pielke, Sr. and R. A.
Pielke, Jr, Routledge, New York, p.220-241
-
Landsea,
C.W., Pielke, Jr., R.A., Mestas-Nuñez, A.M., Knaff, J.A., 1999:
Atlantic basin hurricanes: Indices of climatic changes, Climatic Change,
42, 89-129.
-
Pielke,
Jr., R. A., and Landsea, C.W., 1999: "La Niña, El Niño, and
Atlantic Hurricane Damages in the United States" , Bull. Amer. Meteor.
Soc., 80, 2027-2033.
-
Bove,
M. C., J. B. Elsner, C. W. Landsea,, X. Niu and J. J. O'Brien, 1998: Effect
of El Nino on U.S. landfalling hurricanes, revisited. Bull. Amer. Meteor.
Soc.,79, 2477-2482.
-
Henderson--Sellers,
A., H. Zhang, G. Berz, K. Emanuel, W. Gray, C. Landsea, G. Holland, J.
Lighthill, S-L. Shieh, P. Webster, K. McGuffie, 1998: Tropical cyclones
and global climate change: A post-IPCC assessment. Bull. Amer. Meteor.
Soc., 79, 19-38.
-
Nicholls,
N., C.W. Landsea, and J. Gill, 1998: Recent trends in Australian region
tropical cyclone activity. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 65, 197-205.
-
Landsea,
C.W., G.D. Bell, W.M. Gray, and S.B. Goldenberg, 1998: The extremely active
1995 Atlantic hurricane season: Environmental conditions and verification
of seasonal forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 1174-1193.
-
Landsea,
C.W., 1997: Comments on "Will greenhouse gas--induced warming over the
next 50 years lead to higher frequency and greater intensity of hurricanes?",
Tellus, 49A, 622--623.
-
Knaff,
J.A, and C.W. Landsea, 1997: An El Nino--Southern Oscillation CLImatology
and PERsistence (CLIPER) Forecasting Scheme. Wea. Forecasting, 12,633--652.
-
Gray,
W.M., J.D. Sheaffer, and C.W. Landsea, 1997: Climate trends associated
with multidecadal variability of Atlantic hurricane activity. "Hurricanes:
Climate and Socioeconomic Impacts." H.F. Diaz and R.S. Pulwarty, Eds.,
Springer--Verlag, New York, 15-53.
-
Landsea,
C.W., N. Nicholls, W.M. Gray, and L.A. Avila, 1996: Downward trends in
the frequency of intense Atlantic hurricanes during the past five decades.
Geo. Res. Letters, 23, 1697-1700.
-
Landsea,
C.W., W.M. Gray, P.W. Mielke, Jr., and K.J. Berry, 1994: Seasonal forecasting
of Atlantic hurricane activity. Weather, 49, 273-284.
-
Gray,
W.M., C.W. Landsea, P.W. Mielke, Jr., and K.J. Berry, 1994: Predicting
Atlantic basin seasonal tropical cyclone activity by 1 June. Wea. Forecasting,
9, 103-115.
-
Landsea,
C.W., 1993: A climatology of intense (or major) Atlantic hurricanes. Mon.
Wea. Rev., 121, 1703-1713.
-
Gray, W.M., C.W. Landsea, P.W. Mielke, Jr., and K.J. Berry, 1993: Predicting
Atlantic basin seasonal tropical cyclone activity by 1 August. Wea.
Forecasting, 8, 73-86.
-
Gray, W.M., and C.W. Landsea, 1993: Examples of the large modification
in US East Coast hurricane spawned destruction by prior occurring West
African rainfall conditions. "ICSU/WMO International Symposium on Tropical
Cyclone Disasters", J. Lighthill, Z. Zhemin, G. Holland, and K. Emanuel,
Eds. Peking University Press, Beijing, 182-189.
-
Landsea,
C.W., W.M. Gray, P.W. Mielke, Jr., and K.J. Berry, 1992: Long-term variations
of Western Sahelian monsoon rainfall and intense U.S. landfalling hurricanes.
J. Climate, 5, 1528-1534.
-
Gray, W.M., C.W. Landsea, P.W. Mielke, Jr., and K.J. Berry, 1992: Predicting
Atlantic seasonal hurricane activity 6-11 months in advance.
Wea. Forecasting, 7, pp.440-455
-
Gray, W.M., and C.W. Landsea, 1992: African rainfall as a precursor of
hurricane-related destruction on the U.S. East Coast. Bull. Amer. Meteor.
Soc.,73, 1352-1364.
-
Landsea,
C.W., and W.M. Gray, 1992: The strong association between Western Sahelian
monsoon rainfall and intense Atlantic hurricanes. J. Climate, 5,
435-453.
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