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Scientific Publications
by
Hurricane Research Division personnel


    2023

    • Al-Khaldi, M.M., S. Gleason, J.T. Johnson, R. Balasubramaniam, C.S. Ruf, D.S. McKague, B. Annane, T. Wang, A. Russel, and D. Twigg. Using synthetic cyclone models for high wind GNSS-R calibration, validation, and algorithm development: A CYGNSS case study. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 61:5801911, https://doi.org/10.1109/TGRS.2023.3294870 2023

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    • Apodoca, K., L. Cucurull, I. Genkova, R.J. Purser, and X. Su. Assessing the benefit of variational quality control for assimilating Aeolus Mie and Rayleigh wind profiles in NOAA’s Global Forecast System during tropical cyclones. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4530 2023

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    • Chen, X., A. Hazelton, F.D. Marks, G.J. Alaka, and C. Zhang. Performance of an improved TKE-based eddy-diffusivity mass-flux (EDMF) PBL scheme in 2021 hurricane forecasts from Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System. Weather and Forecasting, 38(2):321-336, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0140.1 2023

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    • Chen, X., C.M. Rozoff, R.F. Rogers, K.L. Corbosiero, D. Tao, J.-F. Gu, F. Judt, E.A. Hendricks, Y. Wang, M.M. Bell, D.P. Stern, K.D. Musgrave, J.A. Knaff, and J. Kaplan. Research advances on internal processes affecting tropical cyclone intensity change from 2018–2022. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12(1):10-29, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.05.001 2023

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    • Conroy, A., H. Titley, R. Rivett, X. Feng, J. Methven, K. Hodges, A. Brammer, A. Burton, P. Chakraborty, G. Chen, L. Cowan, P. Dunion, and A. Sarkar. Track forecast: Operational capability and new techniques—Summary from the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10). Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12(1):64-80, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.05.002 2023

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    • Cucurull, L. Recent impact of COSMIC-2 with improved radio occultation data assimilation algorithms. Weather and Forecasting, 2023

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    • Cucurull, L., and J. Purser. An improved one-dimensional bending angle forward operator for the assimilation of radio occultation profiles in the lower troposphere. Monthly Weather Review, 151(5):1093-1108, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0073.1 2023

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    • DesRosiers, A.J., M.M. Bell, P.J. Klotzbach, M.S. Fischer, and P.D. Reasor. Observed relationships between tropical cyclone vortex height, intensity, and intensification rate. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(8):e2022GL101877, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101877 2023

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    • Ditchek, S.D., and J.A. Sippel. A comparison of the impacts of inner-core, over-vortex, and environmental dropsondes on tropical cyclone forecasts during the 2017-2020 hurricane seasons. Weather and Forecasting, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0055.1 2023

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    • Ditchek, S.D., J.A. Sippel, G.J. Alaka Jr., S.B. Goldenberg, And L. Cucurull. A systematic assessment of the overall dropsonde impact during the 2017-2020 hurricane seasons using the basin-scale HWRF. Weather and Forecasting, 38(6):789-816, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0102.1 2023

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    • Ditchek, S.D., J.A. Sippel, P.J. Marinescu, and G.J. Alaka, Jr. Improving best-track verification of tropical cyclones: A new metric to identify forecast consistency. Weather and Forecasting, 38(6):817-831, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0168.1 2023

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    • Fischer, M.S., P.D. Reasor, B.H. Tang, K.L. Corbosiero, R.D. Torn, and X. Chen. A tale of two vortex evolutions: Using a high-resolution ensemble to assess the impacts of ventilation on a tropical cyclone rapid intensification event. Monthly Weather Review, 151(1):297-320, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0037.1 2023

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    • Gramer, L.J., M. Soden, and J.C. Hendee. Operational ecoforecasting for coral reefs using artificial intelligence and integrated near real-time environmental data. Bulletin of Marine Science, 99(3):379-394, https://doi.org/10.5343/bms.2022.0012 2023

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    • Hazelton, A., G.J. Alaka Jr., M. Fischer, R. Torn, and S. Gopalakrishnan. Factors influencing the track of Hurricane Dorian (2019) in the west Atlantic: Analysis of a HAFS ensemble. Monthly Weather Review, 151(1):175-192, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0112.1 2023

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    • Holbach, H.M., O. Bousquet, L. Bucci, P. Chang, J. Cione, S. Ditchek, J. Doyle, J.-P. Duvel, J. Elston, G. Goni, K.K. Hon, K. Ito, Z. Jelenak, X. Lei, R. Lumpkin, C.R. McMahon, C. Reason, E. Sanabia, L.K. Shay, J.A. Sippel, A. Sushko, J. Tang, K. Tsuboki, H. Yamada, J. Zawislak, and J.A. Zhang. Recent advancements in aircraft and in situ observations of tropical cyclones. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12(2):81-99, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.06.001 2023

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    • Kim, D., S.-K. Lee, H. Lopez, G.R. Foltz, C. Wen, R. West, and J. Dunion. Increase in Cape Verde hurricanes during Atlantic Niño. Nature Communications, 14:3704, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39467-5 2023

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    • Ko, M.-C., X. Chen, M. Kubat, and S. Gopalakrishnan. The development of a consensus machine learning model for hurricane rapid intensification with Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) data. Weather and Forecasting, 38(8):1253-1270, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0217.1 2023

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    • Kurosawa, K., and J. Poterjoy. A statistical hypothesis testing strategy for adaptively blending particle filters and ensemble Kalman filters for data assimilation. Monthly Weather Review, 151(1):105-125, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0108 2023

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    • Li, M., J.A. Zhang, L. Matak, and M. Momen. The impacts of adjusting momentum roughness length on strong and weak hurricane forecasts: A comprehensive analysis of weather simulations and observations. Monthly Weather Review, 150(5):1287-1302, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0191.1 2023

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    • Ma, Z., Z. Li, J. Li, M. Min, J. Sun, X. Wei, T.J. Schmit, and L. Cucurull. An enhanced storm warning and nowcasting model in pre-convention environment. Remote Sensing, 15(10):2672, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15102672 2023

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    • Ming, J., J.A. Zhang, X. Li, Z. Pu, and M. Momen. Observational estimates of turbulence parameters in the atmospheric surface layer of landfalling tropical cyclones. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 128(17):e2022JD037768, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037768 2023

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    • Rogers, R.F., J. Courtney, and K. Wood. The World Meteorological Organization Tenth International Workshop on Tropical cyclones (IWTC-10): A summary. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12(1):1-9, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.04.001 2023

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    • Rosencrans, M., E.S. Blake, C.W. Landsea, H. Wang, S.B. Goldenberg, R.J. Pasch, and D.S. Harnos Atlantic basin. In Chapter 4, State of the Climate in 2022). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104(9):S232-S239, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0078.1 2023
    • Sellwood, K.J., J.A. Sippel, and A. Aksoy. Assimilation of Coyote small uncrewed aircraft system observations in Hurricane Maria (2017) using operational HWRF. Weather and Forecasting, 38(6):901-919, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0214.1 2023

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    • Stackhouse, S.D., S.E. Zick, C.J. Matyas, K.M. Wood, A.T. Hazelton, and G.J. Alaka Jr. Evaluation of experimental high-resolution model forecasts of tropical cyclone precipitation using object-based metrics. Weather and Forecasting, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0223.1 2023

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    • Stone, Z., G.R. Alvey III, J.P. Dunion, M.S. Fischer, D.J. Raymond, R.F. Rogers, S. Sentic, and J. Zawislak. Thermodynamic contribution to vortex alignment and rapid intensification of Hurricane Sally (2020). Monthly Weather Review, 151(4):931-951, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0201.1 2023

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    • Wadler, J.B., D.S. Nolan, J.A. Zhang, L.K. Shay, J.B. Olson, and J.J. Cione. The effect of advection on the three-dimensional distribution of turbulent kinetic energy and its generation in idealized tropical cyclone simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15(5):e2022MS003230, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003230 2023

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    • Wang, W., Z. Zhang, J.P. Cangialosi, M. Brennan, L. Cowan, P. Clegg, T. Hosomi, I. Masaaki, A. Kumar Das, M. Mohapatra, M. Sharma, J. Knaff, J. Kaplan, T. Birchard, J. Doyle, J. Heming, J. Moskaitis, W. Komaromi, S. Ma, C. Sampson, L. Wu, and E. Blake. A review of recent advances (2018-2021) on tropical cyclone intensity change from operational perspectives, Part 2: Forecasts by operational centers. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12(1):50-63, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.05.003 2023

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    • Wu, S.-N., B. Soden, and G.J. Alaka. The influence of radiation on the prediction of tropical cyclone intensification in a forecast model. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(2):e2022GL099442, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099442 2023

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    • Zhang, C., G.R. Foltz, A.M. Chiodi, C.W. Mordy, C.R. Edwards, C. Meinig, D. Zhang, E. Mazza, E.D. Cokelet, E.F. Burger, F. Bringas, G.J. Goni, H.G. Hristova, H.-S. Kim, J.A. Trinanes, J.A. Zhang, K.E. Bailey, K.M. O’Brien, M. Morales-Caez, N. Lawrence-Slavas, R. Jenkins, S.S. Chen, and X. Chen. Hurricane observations by uncrewed systems. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0327.1 2023

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    • Zhang, J.A., R.F. Rogers, P.D. Reasor, and J. Gamache. The mean kinematic structure of the tropical cyclone boundary layer and its relationship to intensity change. Monthly Weather Review, 151(1):63-84, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-21-0335 2023

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    • Zhang, X., S.D. Ditchek, K.L. Corbosiero, and W. Xu. Global and regional characteristics of radially outward propagating tropical cyclone diurnal pulses. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 128(7):e2022JD037660, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037660 2023

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    • Zhang, Z., W. Wang, J. Doyle, J. Moskaitis, W. Komaromi, J. Heming, L. Magnusson, J.P. Cangialosi, L. Cowan, M. Brennan, S. Ma, A. Kumar Dos, T. Hosomi, P. Clegg, T. Birchard, J. Knaff, J. Kaplan, M. Mohapatra, M. Sharma, I. Masaaki, and E. Blake. A review of recent advances (2018-2021) on tropical cyclone intensity change from operational perspectives, Part 1: Dynamical model guidance. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12(1):30-49, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.05.004 2023

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    • Zhu, P., J.A. Zhang, and F.D. Marks. On the lateral entrainment instability in the inner core region of tropical cyclones. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(8):e2022GL102494, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102494 2023

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