NOAA’s Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) has tasked their P-3 Hurricane Hunters for reconnaissance missions into Hurricane Isaias to begin Friday, July 31 at 4:00 AM with additional missions to follow in subsequent days.
Las mediciones recogidas en el entorno de Isaías proporcionarán a los pronosticadores la información más actualizada sobre las características de la tormenta y se utilizarán para iniciar modelos de pronóstico operacionales que se basen en las mediciones actuales.
AOML hurricane scientists will process wind and temperature data acquired using tail-Doppler radar, dropsondes, and other instrumentation in real-time for quality and accuracy.
Obtaining these data in a timely manner is vital for diagnosing the newly organized tropical storm as it emerges from Hispaniola. Interactions between the storm and the terrain of the island can be complex and may impact the expected track forecast of Hurricane Isaias and thus the potential impact to the southeastern U.S.
While the mountainous terrain of Hispaniola disrupted the circulation of Isaias, the system has emerged north of the island. The National Hurricane Center forecasts it will continue to move northwest and intensify.
AOML and EMC hurricane experts have coordinated with the National Hurricane Center to target this northern side, expecting to transect the potential center three times at an altitude of 10,000 feet. This coverage will allow scientists and forecasters to visualize Isaias’ structure and how the storm interacts with the environment in which it is embedded.
>> Scientist K. Ryan
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DISCLAIMER: The above discussion is intended to provide a brief summary of recent and future HRD Hurricane Field Program Operations. Any use of this material beyond its original intent is prohibited without permission of the HRD Director, Frank Marks (Frank.Marks@noaa.gov). Media inquiries should be directed to AOML Communications (aoml.communications@noaa.gov), Monica Allen (301-734-1123) or Monica.Allen@noaa.gov.