NOAA Hurricane Hunters continue reconnaissance an surveillance for Tropical Storm Eta, which threatens to bring tropical-cyclone hazards to south Florida as it restrengthens over water.
The G-IV aircraft took off for its last mission into Eta at 12:30 AM EDT from Lakeland, FL, on November 8. By circumnavigating the periphery of the system, the data supplied hurricane experts with up-to-date information about the system’s interaction with the environment in which it is embedded.
The P-3 aircraft will take off at 4:30 PM EDT on November 8 from Lakeland, FL to continue 12-hourly missions in order to investigate the cyclone’s development. NOAA flight crews will pause missions on Monday as the storm nears South Florida and NOAA’s ground radar network. AOML scientists anticipate subsequent flights to begin again Tuesday as the National Hurricane Center (NHC) predicts that Eta will slow down prior to stalling in the Gulf of America.
Una complicada configuración ambiental añade incertidumbre al pronóstico de la Tormenta Tropical ETA a largo plazo, y motiva los objetivos de estos vuelos.
Conducting center fixes for NHC and model initialization tactics for the Environmental Modeling Center (EMC), the P-3 aircraft will locate the storm center and characterize the surface circulation by collecting measurements that will optimize the performance of operational weather models.
Es posible que se necesiten misiones adicionales a medida que el sistema evolucione y las condiciones ambientales cambien. Más allá de un pronóstico de 5 días, la NHC observa que las simulaciones numéricas divergen en sus resultados.
AOML scientists stress the importance of gathering aircraft observations of the storm during such times and actively adjust their flight plans to adequately monitor the progression of Tropical Storm Eta.
>> Scientist K. Ryan
>> Edits by L. Bucci and R. Kravetz
For details about reconnaissance aircraft missions, please see NOAA’s official Plan of the Day.
For the latest information about tropical cyclones and other weather systems, please visit the NOAA/NWS/National Hurricane Center.
For information on numerical prediction of tropical cyclones, please visit NOAA/NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center.
To access updates on the Intensity Forecasting EXperiment (IFEX) and other activities via Facebook, Twitter, or RSS feed, check out the NOAA/AOML/HRD page.
To directly access updates on IFEX HFP Operations via our WordPress blog on the web, check the site: https://noaahrd.wordpress.com/category/ifex-hurricane-field-program/
DISCLAIMER: The above discussion is intended to provide a brief summary of recent and future HRD Hurricane Field Program Operations. Any use of this material beyond its original intent is prohibited without permission of the HRD Director, Frank Marks (Frank.Marks@noaa.gov). Media inquiries should be directed to AOML Communications (aoml.communications@noaa.gov), Monica Allen (301-734-1123) or Monica.Allen@noaa.gov.