Meet The Women Advancing NOAA Hurricane Research And Forecasting
How seven women across NOAA are leading advances in hurricane technology, observing, and forecasting. Hurricanes, also known as tropical cyclones, are among the most destructive natural disasters. These storms pose major risks to coastal communities and cost billions of dollars each year in damages. Impacts are expected to increase with warming ocean temperatures, rising sea levels, increasing storm intensity, and growing […]
Article on how the Atlantic Niño increases hurricane activity in the Eastern and Central Atlantic published in Nature Communications
This study found that Atlantic Niño enhances the Atlantic inter-tropical convergence zone rainband, which in turn increases African easterly wave activity and low-level cyclonic vorticity in the deep tropical eastern North Atlantic. These conditions increase the likelihood of major hurricanes developing in the deep tropics near the Cape Verde islands, elevating the risk of major […]
Hurricane Weather Research Forecast Model
**This is an archival project page. NOAA retired the HWRF model in 2022 and transitioned to the new Hurricane Analysis and Forecasting System (HAFS) model for 2023. Please visit the Hurricane Modeling and Prediction Page for more information about HAFS.** The Hurricane Weather Research Forecast Model JUMP TO DATA OR SCROLL TO LEARN MORE AOML’s [...]
Paper summarizing recent advances in observing tropical cyclones published in Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
This manuscript is a summary of the recent advancements in aircraft and in situ (those taken at the location of the instrument) observations of tropical cyclones around the world over the past four years. It was prepared for the tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10). Data collection is discussed along with improvements to observing […]
2023 Hurricane Field Program Data
Hurricane Field Program Data 2023 Storms Jump to data collected during each storm. Atlantic Basin Arlene (AL02) Bret (AL03) Cindy (AL04) African Easterly Wave (05Aug) Franklin (AL08) Harold (AL09) Idalia (AL10) Lee (AL13) Nigel (AL15) Ophelia (AL16) Philippe (AL17) AL93 Tammy (AL20) AL97 East Pacific Basin Beatriz (EP02) Calvin (EP03) Hilary (EP09) Lidia (EP15) Norma [...]
Recent research into tropical cyclones highlighted in latest issue of AOML Keynotes
Highlights include the impact of GPS dropwindsonde data on forecasts, looking at uncertainties in the forecasts of Hurricane Dorian to understand and improve forecasts, and how vertical wind shear impacts intensity. The latest Keynotes is available at https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/Jan-Mar-2023-AOML-Keynotes-Newsletter.pdf. For more information, contact aoml.communications@noaa.gov.
Paper on using machine learning to improve rapid intensification forecasts published in Weather and Forecasting
A new machine learning (ML) model has the potential to provide rapid intensification (RI) forecasts that are better than those currently available. The paper highlights the importance of proper predictor selection and ML development. The approach taken in this project also sets guidelines for future relevant ML research. Tropical cyclones (TCs) can greatly intensify within […]
Five ways NOAA’s research improves hurricane forecasts
Researchers at NOAA seek new techniques to advance hurricane forecasts to better protect life and property. In preparation for the upcoming 2023 hurricane season, which begins June 1, scientists are accelerating the use of small uncrewed aircraft technologies and the collocation of observational ocean assets, among other advancements. Read about five ways that NOAA researchers […]
A conversation with the lead modeler of NOAA’s new hurricane forecast model
A conversation with Sundararaman “Gopal” Gopalakrishnan, Ph.D., the senior meteorologist and leader of the modeling team that developed NOAA’s newest hurricane forecast model – the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System – that is expected to go into full operation at NOAA’s National Weather Service in late June. Gopalakrishnan leads the Hurricane Modeling and Prediction Program at NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic & […]
