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Hurricanes at Landfall
Principal Investigator
Peter Dodge
Collaborating Scientists
Goals :
One of HRD's goals is to "Enahance the ability to diagnose
and
predict the impact of tropical cyclones (TC) on life and property through wind,
rain, waves, and storm surge". The prime impact will be felt at landfall.
The TC decays as it moves inland, but this aspect of intensity change (another
HRD goal) is not well understood. An accurate description of the
tropical cyclone windfield near and after landfall, derived from airborne and
surface observations, is essential for documenting intensity change, as well
as damage to life and property. Data trnsmitted to the Tropical Pediction
Center (TPC) in real time can be used in warning, preparedness and recovery.
Objective :
Collect and analyze data to observe intensity change at and after
landfall. Transmit Flight-level, remotely-sensed (Tail Doppler radar,
SFMR and C-SCAT/IWRAP winds) and near-surface observations (GPS sondes) to
TPC for inclusion in H*Wind analyses. Coordinate deployment of mobile
platforms to best capture intensity and intensity change at landfall.
Generate windfields synthesized from the observations and use them to
diagnose intensity change processes at landfall.
Method :
When a hurricane is forecast to make landfall in the continental
US, the collaborating sceientists are contacted to plan for coordinated
deployment of mobile observing platforms along the coast and inland.
At the same time flight patterns are designed to enable the collection
of fine-scale radar, sonde and surface data along the coast. Modules are also
planned for inalnd flights to measure inland decay, safety permitting. These
plans are continually updated and refined as the storm approaches land.
During the landfall one or two WP-3D aircraft fly patterns designed
to collect data near the mobile sites in both onsore and offshore flow
regimes. After the experiment each group is resposnsible for data collection,
calibration and verification.
John Gamache's radar wind synthesis algorithms will be applied to
Doppler radar data from all available platforms to generate landfall
windfields. Then these analyses will be combined with data from GPS sondes
and surface platforms to generate boundary layer profiles in onshore
and offshore flow regimes.
Milestones :
- Publish results from Doppler radar data analyzed for the
initial landfall of Hurricane Danny.
- Publish Hurricane Bonnie mesovortex paper.
- Complete and publish Hurricane Floyd data analysis.
Accomplishments :
Several data sets have been collected in landfalling hurricanes, the
last being in Hurricane Lili as it crossed the Louisiana coast on 3 October,
2003. Missions descriptions of the landfall flights can be found in the
storm data section of the HRD web page; these documents include maps with
flight tracks and mobile platform locations as well as lists of sondes
deployed and sample radar images.
References ;
Powell, M. D., P. Dodge, and Michael L. Black, 1991:
The landfall of Hurricane Hugo in the Carolinas: Surface wind
distribution. Wea. Forecast., 6, 379-399.
Dodge, P.P., S.H. Houston, W.-C. Lee, J.F. Gamache, and
F.D. Marks, 1999. Windfields in Hurricane Danny (1997) at landfall
from combined WSR-88D and airborne Doppler radar data.
Preprints, 23rd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical
Meteorology, Dallas, TX, American
Meteorological Society, Boston, 61-62
Dodge, P.P., J.F. Gamache, S.H. Houston, and F.D. Marks, Jr. 1999.
Windfields in Landfalling Hurricanes from Multiple Doppler Radar Data:
the 1998 Hurricane Season. Preprints, 29th International Conference on
Radar Meteorology, Montreal, Quebec, Canada. American Meteorological
Society, Boston, 273 -275
Dodge, P.P., S.M. Spratt, F.D. Marks, D.W. Sharp, and
J.F. Gamache, 2000. Dual-Doppler analyses of mesovortices in a
hurricane rainband. Preprints, 24th Conference on Hurricanes
and Tropical Meteorology, Ft. Lauderdale, FL,
American Meteorological Society, Boston, 302-303
Dodge, P.P., S.T. Murillo, F.D. Marks, W.-C. Lee, P.
Harasti, and C. MacAdie, 2001. Comparison of winds derived from
single-radar GBVTD and dual-Doppler analyses in Hurricane
Bret (1999) at landfall. Minutes, 55th Interdepartmental
Hurricane Conference, Orlando, FL, Office
of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorological Services and
Supporting Research, Washington, D.C., BP27-BP28
Marks, F.D., P.P. Dodge, and C. Sandin, 1999. WSR-88D
observations of hurricane atmospheric boundary layer
structure at landfall. Preprints, 23rd Conference on
Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Dallas, TX,
American Meteorological Society, Boston, 1051-1054
Mayrinck, C.E., P.P. Dodge, F.D. Marks, S.H. Houston, and
J.F. Gamache, 2002. Evolution of the coastal windfield during the
landfall of Hurricane Floyd (1999). Preprints, 25th
Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, San
Diego, CA, American Meteorological
Society, Boston, 337-338
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Last modified: 5/16/2003
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