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Scientific Publications
by
Hurricane Research Division personnel


    2018

    • Annane, B., B. McNoldy, S.M. Leidner, R. Hoffman, R. Atlas, and S.J. Majumdar. A study of the HWRF analysis and forecast impact of realistically simulated CYGNSS observations assimilated as scalar wind speeds and as VAM wind vectors. Monthly Weather Review, 146(7):2221-2236, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0240.1 2018

      Abstract:

    • Bell, G.D., E.S. Blake, C.W. Landsea, S.B. Goldenberg, and R.J. Pasch. The tropics—Atlantic basin. In State of the Climate in 2017, J. Blunden, D.S. Arndt, and G. Hartfield (eds.). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99(8):S114-S118, doi:10.1175/2018BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 2018
    • Blackwell, W.J., S. Braun, R. Bennartz, C. Velden, M. DeMaria, R. Atlas, J. Dunion, F. Marks, R. Rogers, B. Annane, and R.V. Leslie. An overview of the TROPICS NASA Earth Venture mission. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141(S1):16-26, doi:10.1002/qj.3290 2018

      Abstract:

    • Boukabara, S.-A., K. Ide, N. Shahroudi, Y. Zhou, T. Zhu, R. Li, L. Cucurull, R. Atlas, S.P.F. Casey, and R.N. Hoffman. Community global Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) package (CGOP): Perfect observations simulation validation. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 35(1):207-226, doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-17-00771 2018

      Abstract:

    • Boukabara, S.-A., K. Ide, Y. Zhou, N. Shahroudi, R.N. Hoffman, K. Garrett, V. Krishna Kumar, T. Zhu, and R. Atlas. Community Global Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) package (CGOP): Assessment and validation of the OSSE system using an OSSE-OSE intercomparison of summary assessment metrics. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 35(10):2061-2078, doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-18-0061.1 2018

      Abstract:

    • Bowers, G.S., D.M. Smith, N.A. Kelley, G.F. Martinez-McKinney, S.A. Cummer, J.R. Dwyer, S. Heckman, R.H. Holzworth, F. Marks, P. Reasor, J. Gamache, J. Dunion, T. Richards, and H.K. Rassoul. A terrestrial gamma-ray flash inside the eyewall of Hurricane Patricia. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 123(10):4977-4987, doi:10.1029/2017JD027771 2018

      Abstract:

    • Brammer, A., C.D. Thorncroft, and J.P. Dunion. Observations and predictability of a nondeveloping tropical disturbance over the eastern Atlantic. Monthly Weather Review, 146(9):3079-3096, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0065.1 2018

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    • Bucci, L.R., C. O’Handley, G.D. Emmitt, J.A. Zhang, K. Ryan, and R. Atlas. Validation of an airborne Doppler wind lidar in tropical cyclones. Sensors, 18(12):4288, doi:10.3390/s18124288 2018

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    • Cheung, K., Z. Yu, R.L. Elsberry, M. Bell, H. Jiang, T.C. Lee, K.-C. Lu, Y. Oikawa, L. Qi, R.F. Rogers, and K. Tsuboki. Recent advances in research and forecasting of tropical cyclone rainfall. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 7(2):106-127, doi:10.6057/2018TCRR02.03 2018

      Abstract:

    • Christophersen, H., A. Aksoy, J. Dunion, and S. Aberson. Composite impact of Global Hawk unmanned aircraft dropwindsondes on tropical cyclone analyses and forecasts. Monthly Weather Review, 146(7):2297-2314, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0304.1 2018

      Abstract:

    • Christopherson, H., R. Atlas, A. Aksoy, and J. Dunion. Combined use of satellite observations and Global Hawk unmanned aircraft dropwindsondes for improved tropical cyclone analyses and forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 33(4):1021-1031, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-17-0167.1 2018

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    • Cucurull, L., R. Atlas, R. Li, M.J. Mueller, and R.N. Hoffman. An observing system simulation experiment with a constellation of radio occultation satellites. Monthly Weather Review, 146(12):4247-4259, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0089.1 2018

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    • Didlake, A.C., P.D. Reasor, R.F. Rogers, and W.-C. Lee. Dynamics of the transition from spiral rainbands to a secondary eyewall in Hurricane Earl (2010). Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75(9):2909-2929, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-17-0348.1 2018

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    • Dougherty, E.M., J. Molinari, R.F. Rogers, J.A. Zhang, and J.P. Kossin. Hurricane Bonnie (1998): Maintaining intensity during high vertical wind shear and an eyewall replacement cycle. Monthly Weather Review, 146(10):3383-3399, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0030.1 2018

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    • Dunion, J.P., C.D. Thorncroft, and D.S. Nolan. Tropical cyclone diurnal cycle signals in a hurricane nature run. Monthly Weather Review, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0130.1 2018

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    • Guimond, S.R., J.A. Zhang, J.W. Sapp, and S.J. Frasier. Coherent turbulence in the boundary layer of Hurricane Rita (2005) during an eyewall replacement cycle. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75(9):3071-3093, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-17-0347.1 2018

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    • Hoffman, R.N., V.K. Kumar, S.-A. Boukabara, K. Ide, F. Yang, and R. Atlas. Progress in forecast skill at three leading global operational NWP centers during 2015-2017 as seen in Summary Assessment Metrics (SAMs). Weather and Forecasting, 33(6):1661-1679, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0117.1 2018

      Abstract:

    • Hoffmann, R.N. The effect of thinning and superobservations in a simple one-dimensional data analysis with mischaracterized error. Monthly Weather Review, 146(4):1181-1195, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0363.1 2018

      Abstract:

    • Holbach, H.M., E.W. Uhlhorn, and M.A. Bourassa. Off-nadir SFMR brightness temperature measurements in high-wind conditions. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 35(9):1865-1879, doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-18-0005.1 2018

      Abstract:

    • Huang, L., X. Li, B. Liu, J.A. Zhang, D. Shen, Z. Zhang, and W. Yu. Tropical cyclone boundary layer rolls in synthetic aperture radar imagery. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 123(4):2981-2996, doi:10.1029/2018JC013755 2018

      Abstract:

    • Jin, S., X. Li, X. Yang, J.A. Zhang, and D. Shen. Identification of tropical cyclone centers in SAR imagery based on template matching and particle swarm optimization algorithms. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, doi:10.1109/TGRS.2018.2863259 2018

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    • Kieu, C., K. Keshavamurthy, V. Tallapragada, S. Gopalakrishnan, and S. Trahan. On the growth of intensity forecast errors in the operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144(715):1803-1819, doi:10.1002/qj.3344 2018

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    • Klotz, B.W., and D.S. Nolan. SFMR surface wind undersampling over the tropical cyclone lifecycle. Monthly Weather Review, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0296.1 2018

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    • Kren, A.C., L. Cucurull, and H. Wang. Impact of UAS Global Hawk dropsonde data on tropical and extratropical cyclone forecasts in 2016. Weather and Forecasting, 33(5):1121-1141, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0029.1 2018

      Abstract:

    • Leidner, S.M., B. Annane, B. McNoldy, R. Hoffman, and R. Atlas. Variational analysis of simulated ocean surface winds from the Cyclone Global Navigation Satellite System (CYGNSS) and evaluation using a regional OSSE. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 35(8):1571-1584, doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0136.1 2018

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    • Leighton, H., S. Gopalakrishnan, J.A. Zhang, R.F. Rogers, Z. Zhang, and V. Tallapragada. Azimuthal distribution of deep convection, environmental factors and tropical cyclone rapid intensification: A perspective from HWRF ensemble forecasts of Hurricane Edouard (2014). Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75(1):275-295, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-17-0171.1 2018

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    • Leroux, M.-D., K. Wood, R.L. Elsberry, E.O. Cayanan, E. Hendricks, M. Kucas, P. Otto, R. Rogers, B. Sampson, and Z. Yu. Recent advances in research and forecasting of tropical cyclone track, intensity, and structure at landfall. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 7(2):85-105, doi:10.6057/2018TCRR02.02 2018

      Abstract:

    • Li, Z., J. Li, P. Wang, A. Lim, J. Li, T.J. Schmit, R. Atlas, S.-A. Boukabara, and R.N. Hoffman. Value-added impact of geostationary hyperspectral infrared sounders on local severe storm forecasts—via a quick regional OSSE. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35(10):1217-1230, doi:10.1007/s00376-018-8036-3 2018

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    • Ming, J., and J.A. Zhang. Direct measurements of momentum flux and dissipative heating in the surface layer of tropical cyclones during landfalls. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 123(10):4926-4938, doi:10.1029/2017JD028076 2018

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    • Morzfeld, M., D. Hodyss, and J. Poterjoy. Variational particle smoothers and their localization. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144(712):806-825, doi:10.1002/qj.3256 2018

      Abstract:

    • Munsell, E.B., F. Zhang, S.A. Braun, J.A. Sippel, and A.C. Didlake. The inner-core temperature structure of Hurricane Edouard (2014): Observations and ensemble variability. Monthly Weather Review, 146(1):135-155, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0095.1 2018

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    • Nystrom, R.G., F. Zhang, E.B. Munsell, S.A. Braun, J.A. Sippel, Y. Weng, and K. Emanuel. Predictability and dynamics of Hurricane Joaquin (2015) explored through convection-permitting ensemble sensitivity experiments. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75(2):401-424, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-17-0137.1 2018

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    • Peevey, T.R., J.M. English, L. Cucurull, H. Wang, and A.C. Kren. Improving winter storm forecasts with Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSEs). Part 1: An idealized case study of three US storms. Monthly Weather Review, 146(5):1341-1366, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0160.1 2018

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    • Poterjoy, J., L. Wicker, and M. Buehner. Progress toward the application of a localized particle filter for numerical weather prediction. Monthly Weather Review, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0344.1 2018

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    • Rogers, R.F., K. Cheung, R.L. Elsberry, N. Kohno, M.-D. Leroux, and P. Otto. The World Meteorological Organization Fourth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclone Landfall Processes (IWTCLP-IV): A summary. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 7(2):77-84, doi:10.6057/2018TCRR02.01 2018

      Abstract:

    • Saiprasanth, B., Z.S. Haddad, S. Hristova-Veleva, and F.D. Marks. A low-wavenumber analysis of the environmental and vortex-scale variables responsible for rapid intensity changes in landfalling tropical cyclones. Proceedings, SPIE Symposium on Remote Sensing and Modeling of the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Interactions, Honolulu, HI, September 24-26, 2018. International Society for Optics and Photonics, SPIE Vol. 10782, doi:10.1117/12.2500290 2018

      Abstract:

    • Steward, J.L., J.E. Roman, A. Lamas Davina, and A. Aksoy. Parallel direct solution of the covariance-localized ensemble square root Kalman filter equations with matrix functions. Monthly Weather Review, 146(9):2819-2836, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0022.1 2018

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    • Tang, J., J.A. Zhang, C. Kieu, and F.D. Marks. Sensitivity of hurricane intensity and structure to two types of planetary boundary layer parameterization schemes in idealized HWRF simulations. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 7(4):201-211, doi:10.6057/2018TCRR04.01 2018

      Abstract:

    • Tang, J., J.A. Zhang, S.D. Aberson, F.D. Marks, and X. Lei. Multilevel tower observations of vertical eddy diffusivity and mixing length in the tropical cyclone boundary layer during landfalls. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75(9):3159-3168, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-17-0353.1 2018

      Abstract:

    • Tong, M., J.A. Sippel, V. Tallapragada, E. Liu, C. Kieu, I.-H. Kwon, W. Wang, Q. Liu, Y. Ling, and B. Zhang. Impact of assimilating aircraft reconnaissance observations on tropical cyclone initialization and prediction using operational HWRF and GSI ensemble-variational hybrid data assimilation. Monthly Weather Review, 146(12):4155-4177, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0380.1 2018

      Abstract:

    • Tratt, D.M., J.A. Hackwell, B.L. Valant-Spaight, R.L. Walterscheid, L.J. Gelinas, J.H. Hecht, C.M. Swenson, C.P. Lampen, M.J. Alexander, L. Hoffman, D.S. Nolan, S.D. Miller, J.L. Hall, R. Atlas, F.D. Marks, and P.T. Partain. GHOST: A satellite mission concept for persistent monitoring of stratospheric gravity waves induced by severe storms. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99(9):1813-1828, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0064.1 2018

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    • Wadler, J.B., J.A. Zhang, B. Jaimes, and L.K. Shay. Downdrafts and the evolution of boundary layer thermodynamics in Hurricane Earl (2010) before and during rapid intensification. Monthly Weather Review, 146(11):3545-3565, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0090.1 2018

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    • Wadler, J.B., R.F. Rogers, and P.D. Reasor. The relationship between spatial variations in the structure of convective bursts and tropical cyclone intensification using airborne Doppler radar. Monthly Weather Review, 146(3):761-780, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0213.1 2018

      Abstract:

    • Wang, W., J.A. Sippel, S. Abarca, L. Zhu, B. Liu, Z. Zhang, A. Mehra, and V. Tallapragada. Improving NCEP HWRF simulations of surface wind and inflow angle in the eye area. Weather and Forecasting, 33(3):887-898, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-17-0115.1 2018

      Abstract:

    • Weatherhead, E.C., B.A. Wielicki, V. Ramaswamy, M. Abbott, T.P. Ackerman, R. Atlas, G. Brasseur, L. Bruhwiler, A.J. Busalacchi, J.H. Butler, C.T.M. Clack, R. Cooke, L. Cucurull, S.M. Davis, J.M. English, D.W. Fahey, S.S. Fine, J.K. Lazo, S. Liang, N.G. Loeb, E. Rignot, B. Soden, D. Stanitski, G. Stephens, B.D. Tapley, A.M. Thompson, K.E. Trenberth, and D. Wuebbles. Designing the climate observing system of the future. Earth’s Future, 6(1):80-102, doi:10.1002/2017EF000627 2018

      Abstract:

    • Wick, G.A., T.F. Hock, P.J. Neiman, H. Vomel, M.L. Black, and J.R. Spackman. The NCAR/NOAA Global Hawk dropsonde system. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 35(8):1585-1604, doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0225.1 2018

      Abstract:

    • Zhang, J.A., and R.F. Rogers. Effects of parameterized boundary layer structure on hurricane rapid intensification in shear. Monthly Weather Review, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0010.1 2018

      Abstract:

    • Zhang, J.A., F.D. Marks, J.A. Sippel, R.F. Rogers, X. Zhang, S.G. Gopalakrishnan, Z. Zhang, and V. Tallapragada. Evaluating the impact of improvement in the horizontal diffusion parameterization on hurricane prediction in the operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model. Weather and Forecasting, 33(1):317-329, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-17-0097.1 2018

      Abstract:

    • Zhang, J.A., R. Atlas, G.D. Emmitt, L. Bucci, and K. Ryan. Airborne Doppler wind lidar observations of the tropical cyclone boundary layer. Remote Sensing, 10(6):825, doi:10.3390/rs10060825 2018

      Abstract:

    • Zou, Z., D. Zhao, J.A. Zhang, S. Li, Y. Cheng, H. Lv, and X. Ma. Influence of swell on the atmospheric boundary layer under nonneutral conditions. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 48(4):925-936, doi:10.1175/JPO-D-17-0195.1 2018

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