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Coyote Small Uncrewed Aircraft System Data Improved Hurricane Maria Forecasts

AOML Communications — Wed, 04 May 2022 14:57:04 +0000

Observations obtained by the Coyote small Uncrewed Aircraft System led to a significant improvement in the analyses of Hurricane Maria’s (2017) position, intensity, and structure, according to new research published in the journal Monthly Weather Review. The study by scientists with the University of Miami's Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies and Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML) highlights how the Coyote’s novel near-surface measurements helped to more accurately depict Hurricane Maria’s inner core, demonstrating their ability to improve forecasts.

The post Coyote Small Uncrewed Aircraft System Data Improved Hurricane Maria Forecasts appeared first on NOAA's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory.

Hurricane Model that Follows Multiple Storms Improves Intensity Forecasts

AOML Communications — Tue, 03 May 2022 18:22:39 +0000

Warning the public of the damaging winds in tropical cyclones is critical for safeguarding communities in harm’s way. A new study by hurricane scientists at AOML is the first to quantify the value added to tropical cyclone intensity forecasts by storm-following nests. The research, published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, demonstrates that storm-following nests applied to multiple hurricanes in the same forecast cycle can improve intensity predictions by as much as 30%.

The post Hurricane Model that Follows Multiple Storms Improves Intensity Forecasts appeared first on NOAA's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory.

Storms Gather and Now Our Watch Begins

AOML Communications — Mon, 17 Jun 2019 15:58:04 +0000

Hurricane season is officially upon us and researchers at NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory are excited about new model developments and innovative technology to improve hurricane forecasting. AOML’s deputy director, Molly Baringer, briefed Congresswomen Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Donna Shalala on May 30th, 2019 about the science behind the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook and advancements led by AOML and other NOAA offices in the field of hurricane forecasting.

The post Storms Gather and Now Our Watch Begins appeared first on NOAA's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory.

HWRF High-Res Hurricane Model Bridges Research and Operational Communities

AOML Communications — Mon, 13 Aug 2018 17:17:20 +0000

AOML drives improvements to hurricane forecasts by leveraging expertise in tropical cyclone observations, research, and modeling. Our numerical weather modeling team uses HWRF to test new technology and advance hurricane prediction through data collection, assimilation, and experimental modeling.

The post HWRF High-Res Hurricane Model Bridges Research and Operational Communities appeared first on NOAA's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory.

Capturing the Genesis of a Hurricane

AOML Communications — Wed, 31 Aug 2016 22:26:47 +0000

NOAA Hurricane Hunters are flying back-to-back missions to study the newly developed Tropical Storm Hermine in the Gulf of Mexico, capturing its evolution from a cluster of thunderstorms into a tropical storm. Getting data during such transitions can help improve hurricane models which currently don’t predict transitions well. Our understanding of the physical processes of early storm development remains limited, largely because there are few observations.

The post Capturing the Genesis of a Hurricane appeared first on NOAA's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory.

From the Eye of the Hurricane to High-Resolution Models – How NOAA Improves Hurricane Forecasts

AOML Communications — Fri, 13 May 2016 23:29:27 +0000

As a hurricane approaches landfall, citizens are hoping that they are adequately prepared for the potential damage from strong winds and rising oceans. NOAA’s job is to forecast the storm location and strength, or intensity, to help communities make the best informed decisions. For many scientists, predicting intensity is a challenge at the forefront of hurricane research, and in recent years advancements in observations and modeling have improved NOAA’s forecasts of intensity by 20%. We are now at the point where scientists can observe and predict with very fine detail what is happening in the inner core of the storm.

The post From the Eye of the Hurricane to High-Resolution Models – How NOAA Improves Hurricane Forecasts appeared first on NOAA's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory.

10th Anniversary of Hurricane Katrina

AOML Communications — Sun, 23 Aug 2015 23:26:43 +0000

Early on the morning of August 29th, 2005, Hurricane Katrina made landfall on the Louisiana delta region and the Mississippi coast. The storm surge brought enormous damage to the Gulf Coast and, when the levees around New Orleans failed, a great number of fatalities. Coming amidst the very busy 2005 hurricane season, Katrina brought death and destruction not seen in a U.S. land-falling hurricane in decades.

The post 10th Anniversary of Hurricane Katrina appeared first on NOAA's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory.

Behind the 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Wind Shear & Tropical Cyclones

AOML Communications — Mon, 10 Aug 2015 00:04:41 +0000

With the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season underway, researchers are pointing to the strong presence of El Niño as the major driver suppressing the development of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin. But what specific conditions are associated with El Niño that lead to a less than ideal environment for tropical cyclone development? Through research and observation, hurricane researchers know strong environmental wind shear is a major factor affecting potential hurricane development and growth. This hurricane season, AOML researchers are delving further into the relationship between wind shear and tropical cyclones.

The post Behind the 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Wind Shear & Tropical Cyclones appeared first on NOAA's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory.

Hurricane Danny & Tropical Storm Erika Provide Wealth of Research Opportunities for the 2015 Hurricane Field Program

AOML Communications — Thu, 26 Mar 2015 20:31:49 +0000

AOML's hurricane researchers conducted a number of field activities in August that provided data and critical insights into two Atlantic tropical cyclones, Danny and Erika. The two storms enabled researchers to test new instruments in support of the 2015 Hurricane Field Program and conduct research that will benefit future forecasts. Among the highlights were more than 15 successful manned and unmanned aircraft missions into Danny and Erika to collect and provide real-time data to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), as well as evaluate forecast models.

The post Hurricane Danny & Tropical Storm Erika Provide Wealth of Research Opportunities for the 2015 Hurricane Field Program appeared first on NOAA's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory.