The Interannual Variability of the Brazil Current and Regional Impacts
- PI
- Post-docs
- Masters Students
- High School Interns
- Collaborators
Marlos Goes (USA, NOAA/AOML, UM/CIMAS)Yanyun Liu (USA, NOAA/AOML, UM/CIMAS)Sudip Majumder (USA, NOAA/AOML, UM/CIMAS)Vinicius Webber (UM/RSMAS)Mateus Lima (UFBA/Brazil)Steve Marrero (MAST) |
Sang-Ki Lee (USA, NOAA/AOML)Leo Siqueira (USA, UM/RSMAS)Ben Kirtman (USA, UM/RSMAS)Shenfu Dong (USA, NOAA/AOML)Greg Foltz (USA, NOAA/AOML)Gustavo Goni (USA, NOAA/AOML)Claudia Schmid (USA, NOAA/AOML)Mauro Cirano (Brazil, UFRJ)Mauricio Mata (Brazil, FURG)Paulo Polito (Brazil, USP) |
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The broad goal of this work is to improve understanding of the Brazil Current (BC) system variability on interannual timescales, and the impact of the local and remote surface forcings on the regional variability of the BC. To achieve this goal, we will use a set of oceanographic (in-situ and satellite) data, ocean reanalysis and eddy-resolving model experiments. One of the strengths of the proposed work is that we will use a collection of over a decade long direct measurements of the BC at mesoscale sampling in two locations (22°S and 34°S). In addition, we will examine the interannual variability of the South Atlantic Ocean temperature structure, its relation to sea level and heat content variability, the relationship with the subtropical gyre variability, and their causes. BC variability will provide better climate predictability for the region. In addition, this project will promote a strong collaboration between the University of Miami and the Brazilian scientists. As follows, our research plan will detail the objectives and work tasks to be completed in order to answer the questions above described. |
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Current observational estimates and climate models are moving toward higher spatial and temporal resolutions, allowing for better representations of mesoscale features and their associated air-sea interactions. Western boundary currents in the subtropics are associated with intense heat transport and strong upper temperature fronts. The ability of current climate models to simulate the impact of these currents on the extreme weather events is constrained by to their generally coarse resolution. This work examines the role of increased ocean resolution and a better represented Brazil Current on the air-sea interaction in the western South Atlantic. For this, current observations and two 150-year global climate model simulations with identical atmospheric resolution but contrasting ocean resolutions are used. The boundaries in the South Atlantic ocean present intense coupling between the wind and SST gradients. The impact of the DJF rainfall variability over Subtropical South America is captured by both models, but significant regional differences arise over the Brazil Current region. Ocean temperature sections near the coast also show large differences, with the eddy-resolving model in better agreement with observational estimates. This shows the importance of the resolution of the western boundary current to improving the representation and prediction of regional summer precipitation, and extreme events such as floods and droughts. |
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Simultaneous temperature and salinity profile measurements are of extreme importance for research; operational oceanography; research and applications that compute content and transport of mass, heat, and freshwater in the ocean; and for determining water mass stratification and mixing rates. Historically, temperature profiles are much more abundant than simultaneous temperature and salinity profiles. Given the importance of concurrent temperature and salinity profiles, several methods have been developed to derive salinity solely based on temperature profile observations, such as expendable bathythermograph (XBT) temperature measurements, for which concurrent salinity observations are typically not available. These empirical methods used to date contain uncertainties as a result of temporal changes in salinity and seasonality in the mixed layer, and are typically regionally based. In this study, a new methodology is proposed to infer salinity in the Atlantic Ocean from the water surface to 2000-m depth, which addresses the seasonality in the upper ocean and makes inferences about longer-term changes in salinity. Our results show that when seasonality is accounted for, the variance of the residuals is reduced in the upper 150 m of the ocean and the dynamic height errors are smaller than 4 cm in the whole study domain. The sensitivity of the meridional heat and freshwater transport to different empirical methods of salinity estimation is studied using the high-density XBT transect across 34.58°S in the South Atlantic Ocean. Results show that accurate salinity estimates are more important on the boundaries, suggesting that temperature–salinity compensation may be also important in those regions.
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Studies have suggested that the South Atlantic Ocean plays an important role in modulating climate at global and regional scales and thus could serve as a potential predictor of extreme rainfall and temperature events globally. To understand how propagating modes of variability influence the circulation of the subtropical gyre and the southward flowing Brazil Current (BC) at interannual frequencies, a Complex Empirical Orthogonal Function (CEOF) analysis was performed on the satellite–derived sea surface height (SSH). The first three CEOF modes explain about 23%, 16%, and 11% of the total interannual variability and show clear westward propagation with phase speeds comparable to that of theoretical baroclinic mode 1 Rossby waves. Results suggest that there is a change in the way energy is distributed among the modes before and after 2005. Before 2005, the SSH variability in the western boundary in the South Atlantic and the volume transport of the BC are more closely linked to the first and the second modes, while the third mode dominates after 2005. This change in energy distribution around 2005 is associated with the recent El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) regime shift in the Pacific Ocean via atmospheric teleconnections. We found that the first CEOF mode is strongly correlated with eastern Pacific (i.e., canonical) ENSO events and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, whereas the third CEOF is correlated to central Pacific (i.e., Modoki) ENSO. These results are useful to understand the overall dynamics of the South Atlantic and to potentially improve predictability of Meridional Overturning Circulation and monsoon pattern changes around the world. |
Publications
Todd, R. F. P. Chavez, S. Clayton, S. Cravatte, M. Goes, et al., 2019: Global Perspectives on Observing Ocean Boundary Current Systems, Frontiers in Marine Science (Oceanobs' 2019), 6, doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00423.
Goni, G.J., J. Sprintall, F. Bringas, L. Cheng, M. Cirano, S. Dong, R. Domingues, M. Goes et al., 2019: More Than 50 Years of Successful Continuous Temperature Section Measurements by the Global Expendable Bathythermograph Network, Its Integrability, Societal Benefits, and Future, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00452.
Majumder, S., M. Goes, P. S. Polito, R. Lumpkin, C. Schmid, and H. Lopez, 2019: Propagating modes of variability and their impact on the western boundary current in the South Atlantic J. Geophys. Res., 124, 3168-3185. doi:10.1029/2018JC014812.
Goes, M., M. Cirano, M.M.Mata, S. Majumder, 2019: Long-term monitoring of the Brazil Current at 22°S from XBT and altimetry: seasonal, interannual and extreme variability J. Geophys. Res., 124, 3645-3663. doi:10.1029/2018JC014809.
Goes, M., J. Christophersen, S. Dong, G. Goni, and M. Baringer, 2018: An updated estimate of salinity for the Atlantic Ocean sector using Temperature-Salinity relationships, J. Ocean. and Atmos. Tech, 35, 1771-1784, doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-18-0029.1.
Siqueira, L., M. Goes, G. Foltz, B. Kirtman, and D. Putrasahan, 2017: Impact of Ocean Resolution on Western South Atlantic Air-sea Interaction during Extreme SST Events J. Climate, submitted.
Lima, M., M. Cirano, M. Mata, M. Goes, G. Goni, and M. O. Baringer, 2016: An assessment of the Brazil Current baroclinic structure and variability near 22°S in distinct Ocean Forecasting and Analysis systems, Ocean Dynamics, 66:893, doi:10.1007/s10236-016-0959-6.
Goes, M., I. Wainer, N. Signorelli, 2014: Investigation of the causes of historical changes in the sub-surface salinity minimum of the South Atlantic. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 119, 5654-5675, doi: 10.1002/2014JC009812.