Drifter Trajectory & Fate Simulator

Click the map to choose a release point, pick a deployment date and duration, and see where a simulated drifter -- or thousands of them -- would probably go, based on real current climatology and calibrated survival statistics.

Release point

Click the map to set the origin.

Deployment date

Results are based on monthly-mean climatology for the chosen month -- seasonal timing genuinely changes both direction and spread.

Simulation


Ensemble mode models beaching (real land contact) and internal instrument failure (calibrated to a 650-day mean lifetime, Lumpkin et al. 2012). It does NOT model drifters being picked up by boaters -- no spatial data for that was available.