TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC AWARENESS PROGRAMMES: PREPARING FOR THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY

Principal Investigator: Howard A. Friedman
Collaborating scientist(s):
Diane J. Garcia
Objective: This effort supports the World Meteorological Organization's Tropical Cyclone Programme (TCP). The primary goal of this work is to develop a resource guide, for disaster preparedness officials and educators, for use in creating awareness in tropical-cyclone-prone nations.
Rationale: During the period from 1969 to 1993, a total of 1551 tropical cyclones, typhoons, and hurricanes occurred worldwide. Literally millions of lives are affected each year and, billions of dollars are lost as a result of tropical cyclones.

At present, we can do little, if anything, to lessen the occurrence, frequency, or intensity of tropical cyclones, or to influence their paths. But over the past three decades significant advances have been made in mankind's capability to prepare for and mitigate their damaging effects. Concerted international scientific efforts have resulted in better understanding the phenomenon of tropical cyclones, their formation, characteristics, path of movement, and effects. Technical advances in weather monitoring equipment - satellites, computers, improved radar systems and other space age meteorological tools - enable scientists today to vigilantly monitor cyclones as they form, track them as they move, and predict with some accuracy where they are likely to impact on land and people.

Correspondingly, meteorological services in many countries have been substantially improved in recent years. Cyclone monitoring equipment has been installed in most cyclone-prone regions of the world. National systems have been linked to regional and international networks through which meteorological data is shared and warnings of approaching cyclones conveyed. In many localities, local communication systems and administrative procedures have been strengthened to ensure that information about approaching cyclones is passed to communities most at risk.

While great strides have been made in our ability to understand and live with cyclones, still more must be done. We must strive to further expand our basic knowledge about tropical cyclones, up-grade tools needed for weather monitoring and prediction, improve the warning and communications network, and strengthen meteorological services. It is a useful reminder that the primary objectives of these varied activities is to prevent the loss of lives and, prevent or minimize property damage from cyclones. The need for continued effort is reconfirmed by the deaths and destruction left in the wake of each tropical cyclone that affects populated areas today; a problem that is likely to continue and increase in seriousness as coastal populations enlarge.

The goal of preventing loss of life and reducing property damage from tropical cyclones, however, can not be achieved simply through improved technical and meteorological services. Accurate prediction and timely notice are critically important, but loss of life and property can only be minimized if officials and the general public are knowledgeable of the hazards faced, understand the warnings provided, and take the proper actions to protect life and property before, during, and after a cyclone. The process required to achieve a public state of readiness is commonly referred to as an awareness programme. This resource guide provides a framework for the development and implementation of local tropical cyclone awareness programs.


Method: The prototype for the current work is "Tropical Cyclone Programme Project No. 14: A Resource Guide for United Nations Members of Tropical-Cyclone-Prone Regions" (Friedman and Ressler, 1983). Much of the information contained in the original guide has been (or, is in the process of being) revised and brought up to date. The Internet, for example, a major new resource that was unavailable to the authors in 1983, was used extensively to obtain up-to-date information on worldwide issues concerning tropical cyclones. The guide's design encourages interactive use by disaster preparedness officials and educators at the local level. Questionnaires and community-specific checklists are provided to elicit local participation in the process of creating tropical cyclone awarness.
Accomplishment: The examples, given in the original guide, of tropical cyclones in most basins and their effects on nations and specific communities, have been replaced by recent examples. Also, new methods in observing and forecasting tropical cyclones are being added to the guide. Issues regarding warning systems and messages, evacuation procedures, risk and vulnerability assessment, recovery and rehabilitation programmes, and school educational programmes around the world are being addressed to familiarize nations with alternative approaches to these issues.

Recommendations and guidelines, in the form of assessment checklists are found in appropriate sections of the guide. It is hoped that the generic examples shown in this guide will be adapted and expanded for use in the development and/or improvement of specific locally-relevant awareness programmes.


Key references:
Elsberry, R. L., ed., 1995: Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones. Tropical Cyclone Programme, Report No. TCP-38, WMO/TD - No. 693, Secretariat of the World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, 289 pp.

Holland, G., ed., 1993: Global Guide to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting. WMO/TD - No. 560, Secretariat of the World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.

Cook, R. A., and M. Soltani, eds., 1992: Hurricanes of 1992: Lessons Learned and Implications for the Future. Proceedings, Symposium of the American Society of Civil Engineers, Dec. 1-3, 1993, New York, New York.

Disaster Mitigation in Asia and the Pacific. Asian Development Bank, Manila, Philippines, 1991.

Friedman, H. A., and E. Ressler, 1983: Tropical Cyclone Programme No. 14: A Resource Guide for United Nations Members of Tropical-Cyclone-Prone Regions (unpublished manuscript). World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.

National Research Council. A Safer Future: Reducing the Impacts of Natural Disasters. U.S. National Committee for the Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction. National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 1991.


Last modified: 10/22/96