TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER/ANA97 PRELIM

Preliminary Report
Tropical Storm Ana
30 June - 4 July 1997


Miles B.Lawrence
National Hurricane Center
4 August 1997



a. Synoptic History

Ana formed as a tropical depression from a frontal low pressure system just off the coast of South Carolina on 30 June. It moved slowly eastward and became a tropical storm with 40-knot sustained winds on the next day even as vertical wind shear limited convective development near the center of the low-level circulation. A deepening short-wave trough moved to eastern North America and accelerated the storm toward the northeast on the 2nd and 3rd. On 4 June, Ana became extra-tropical while moving over colder water and then dissipated. Fig. 1 (30K GIF) shows the best track of the storm and the track is tabulated in Table 1. Ana did not affect land.


b. Meteorological Statistics

Figures 2 (16K GIF) and 3 (17K GIF) show curves of minimum sea-level pressure and maximum one-minute surface wind speed, respectively, as a function of time. Satellite data plotted in these figures are based on the Dvorak satellite intensity estimating technique as applied at the Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch (TAFB), the Satellite Analysis Branch (SAB) and the U.S. Air Force Global Weather Center (AFGWC).

A USAF Reserve reconnaissance aircraft flew into Ana on the afternoon of 1 July and measured a 54-knot wind speed in the northeast quadrant at 1500 feet and a minimum surface pressure of 1000 millibars. These values are the basis for the maximum one-minute surface wind speed of 40 knots and the minimum sea level pressure as given in Table 1.


c. Casualty and Damage Statistics

There were none.


d. Forecast and Warning Critique

Ana was a tropical storm for 60 hours, during which there were ten official forecasts issued. The official track errors are small compared to past performance, but none of the forecasts verified at 72 hours.


 
Table 1. Best track, Tropical Storm Ana, 30 June - 4 July 1997.
Date/Time
(UTC)
Position Pressure
(mb)
Wind Speed
(kt)
Stage
Lat. (°N)Lon. (°W)
30/120032.077.2101330 tropical depression
180032.076.6101130"
01/000031.976.0100930"
060031.875.4100635 tropical storm
120031.774.6100440"
180031.473.8100240"
02/000031.472.9100040"
060031.772.0100035"
120032.171.2100035"
180032.770.5100035"
03/000033.569.8100135"
060034.469.2100135"
120035.268.4100235"
180036.167.5100230 tropical depression
04/000036.966.2100325"
060037.764.5100325 extratropical
120038.462.4100425"
180039.559.5100425"
05/000041.058.0100525"
0600     dissipated
 
02/000031.472.9100040 minimum pressure



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Last updated December 11, 1997
Brian Maher
Jack Beven