This document is divided into FOUR sections:
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Theory and simple models present an emerging picture of hurricane rainband distribution as a function of hurricane strength, direction of motion, and environmental flow. These studies suggest that axisymmetric hurricanes with concentric rings of convection are stronger than asymmetric ones, which often have a stationary band complex surrounding the eye. The location of the stationary band complex, often to the right and forward of the storm motion vector, is most likely due to the convergence resulting from the effects of surface drag on the hurricane circulation. Further observations of hurricane rainbands in different locations relative to the storm circulation could extend our understanding of how position in the hurricane affects both the direction and intensity of energy/momentum interactions between band and hurricane. For example in a hurricane with concentric eyewalls this experiment could help to determine how rainbands become outer eyewalls and subsequently cut off the inner eyewall. In an asymmetric hurricane these studies could confirm, modify, or replace current hypotheses explaining the placement, orientation, and propagation of rainbands relative to the hurricane circulation.
Further observations of hurricane rainbands in different locations relative to the storm circulation will generalize and increase our understanding of the role that rainbands play in storm intensity and intensity change. A detailed study of the structure of rainbands in Hurricane Earl indicated that the inflow was modified by cool downdrafts as it crossed the ban. The modified air, if it arrived virtually unchanged at the eyewall, would be much more stable than environmental air and would be expected to cause some of the eyewall asymmetries that were noted in Floyd. Unfortunately, the rate of recovery of this rainband outflow could not be documented directly. The degree of modification and the rate of recovery are, however, of extreme importance, since they may affect eyewall intensity, as well as the surface-induced shear that produces frictional convergence and turbulent fluxes of heat and moisture from the sea surface.
In 1996, new instrumentation and techniques will substantially improve the capabilities of the WP-3Ds and motivate the collection of boundary layer datasets. With the new GPS-sondes it will be possible to get wind and thermodynamic profiles in the boundary layer with ~5-m vertical resolution. Instrumentation capable of measuring turbulent fluxes is now available with the WP-3D radome gustprobe. For the first time, this instrumentation will allow measurement of the entrainment of momentum, heat, and moisture at the top of the PBL. Entrainment is believed to be critical in maintaining the observed increase in PBL energy with decreasing distance from the eye.
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The emerging instrument capabilities for this experiment could be equally applied to a variety of atmospheric conditions over fairly large horizontal scales. The intricate coupling between the oceanic boundary layer and PBL play a very important role weekly, monthly, seasonally and annually that we are only beginning to unravel with detailed process studies, including modeling efforts, that have been learned from the hurricane research program.
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The first study focuses on the determination of the vertical profile of the PBL wind and thermodynamic structure in the vicinity of a TC rainband using along-band and cross-band aircraft profiles, GPS-sondes, and airborne Doppler observations. Cross-band aircraft profiles provide the vertical thermodynamic and kinematic structure of the air entering the rainband, while the Doppler radar observations made during along-band stepped descents provide more complete mapping of the three-dimensional wind field and rainband features. Cross-wind patterns between the rainband and the eyewall will document the thermodynamic recovery of the low qe air as it flows inward from the rainband toward the eyewall. Drifting buoys and airborne expendable bathythermographs (AXBT) will help to resolve the SST distribution. Active (C band Scatterometer [C-SCAT]) and passive (Stepped-frequency Microwave Radiometer [SFMR]) remote sensors on the aircraft, will estimate surface wind and wind stress in order to calculate surface fluxes of momentum, sensible, and latent heat using the bulk aerodynamic method. Independent estimates of surface stress, sensible, and latent heat fluxes will be made from linear extrapolation of direct eddy-correlation measurements from the aircraft radome gust probe system and high temporal resolution temperature and humidity measurements at altitudes within the PBL.
The purpose of the second study is to determine the PBL structure in a decaying EPAC TC after it has crossed the San Lucas front into colder water. The goal will be to ascertain the time rate of decay of the PBL wind distribution as the TC decays, and to determine the degree to which the subcloud layer is decoupled from the surface friction layer over the cooler water. The observation strategy will employ the techniques of the first study.
The third study seeks to verify the accuracy of remote-sensing methods for the estimation of surface wind speed and direction. This option involves overflying a series of buoys in the Gulf of Mexico and the east coast of the United States during stable and unstable atmospheric conditions and during offshore and onshore flow for strong and weak wind situations.
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