Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
AVNN | 46 | 15 | 49 | 103 | 191 | 240 | 365 | 704 | 789 | 564
| AVNO | 74 | 96 | 109 | 188 | 237 | 320 | 388 | 740 | 836 | 679
| %IMP | -60% | -540% | -122% | -83% | -24% | -33% | -6% | -5% | -6% | -20%
| GFNO | 46 | 54 | 76 | 148 | 236 | 390 | 587 | 942 | 1019 | 1036
| GFDL | 53 | 84 | 136 | 243 | 386 | 617 | 936 | 1477 | 1570 | 1361
| %IMP | -15% | -56% | -79% | -74% | -64% | -58% | -59% | -56% | -54% | -31%
| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | -62 | -47 | -33 | -30 | -25 | -24 | -46 | -34 | -2 | 8
| AVNO | -54 | -45 | -33 | -34 | -33 | -30 | -44 | -31 | 0 | 9
| %IMP | 13% | 4% | 0% | -13% | -32% | -25% | 4% | 9% | 100% | -13%
| GFNO | -31 | -33 | -25 | -22 | -30 | -15 | -24 | -3 | 17 | 16
| GFDL | -28 | -27 | -26 | -26 | -33 | -29 | -31 | -13 | 8 | 21
| %IMP | 10% | 18% | -4% | -18% | -10% | -93% | -29% | -333% | 53% | -31%
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21/2145 UTC 20.6N 86.8W on Cozumel, Mexico, 9.75 h into the forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
AVNN | 20.29 | 86.96 | 13.5 | 38.3 | Celerain, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| AVNO | 20.30 | 86.92 | 5.0 | 35.6 | Celerain, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | -27% | 7%
| GFNO | 20.26 | 87.00 | 9.5 | 43.1 | Celerain, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| GFDL | 20.30 | 86.92 | 6.5 | 35.6 | Celerain, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | -1200% | 17%
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22/0330 UTC 20.8N 86.9W near Puerto Morelos, Mexico 15.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 20.61 | 87.11 | 18.5 | 30.4 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| AVNO | 20.42 | 87.28 | 9.0 | 57.8 | Tulum, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | -117% | -90%
| GFNO | 20.42 | 87.28 | 18.0 | 57.8 | Tulum, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| GFDL | 20.46 | 87.24 | 11.0 | 51.7 | Tulum, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | -29% | -11%
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24/1030 UTC 25.9N 81.7W near Cape Romano, FL 70.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 25.95 | 81.57 | 76.5 | 14.1 | Marco Island, FL
| AVNO | 26.66 | 81.93 | 78.0 | 87.5 | Cape Coral, FL
| %IMP | -27% | -521%
| GFNO | 26.07 | 81.78 | 81.0 | 20.5 | Naples, FL
| GFDL | 25.82 | 81.46 | 90.0 | 25.6 | Marco Island, FL
| %IMP | -86% | -25%
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