Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 92 | 61 | 46 | 33 | 0 | 55 | 80 | 147 | 189 | 239
| AVNO | 48 | 56 | 155 | 180 | 230 | 288 | 314 | 381 | 358 | 416
| %IMP | 48% | 8% | -237% | -445% | und% | -424% | -293% | -259% | -89% | -74%
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| GFNO | 62 | 71 | 62 | 89 | 105 | 107 | 83 | 53 | 66 | 125
| GFDL | 25 | 56 | 134 | 189 | 234 | 302 | 348 | 389 | 329 | 294
| %IMP | 60% | 21% | -116% | -112% | -123% | -182% | -319% | -634% | -398% | -135%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -79 | -70 | -59 | -64 | -50 | -44 | -39 | -36 | -1 | 2
| AVNO | -54 | -47 | -63 | -61 | -45 | -40 | -39 | -48 | -38 | 3
| %IMP | 32% | 33% | -7% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 0% | -33% | -3700% | -50%
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| GFNO | -14 | -12 | -16 | -18 | -8 | -8 | -11 | -13 | 16 | 16
| GFDL | -5 | -11 | -10 | -13 | -15 | -15 | -19 | -43 | -20 | 5
| %IMP | 64% | 8% | 37% | 28% | -88% | -88% | -73% | -231% | -25% | 69%
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12/1415 UTC 18.9N 81.5W 22 n mi SSW of Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island 14.25 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 18.27 | 81.83 | 11.5 | 78.1 | Offshore Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island
| AVNO | 18.97 | 81.54 | 11.5 | 8.8 | Near Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island
| %IMP | 0% | 89%
|
| GFNO | 18.48 | 81.62 | 11.5 | 46.7 | Offshore Georgetown, Grand Cayman island
| GFDL | 19.10 | 81.49 | 13.5 | 22.2 | Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island
| %IMP | 73% | 52%
|
|
14/0100 UTC 21.7N 85.2W 15 n mi SW of Cabo San Antonio, Cuba 49.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 21.83 | 85.06 | 47.5 | 20.4 | Near La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| AVNO | 22.07 | 84.26 | 38.0 | 105.3 | La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | -633% | -416%
|
| GFNO | 21.44 | 85.57 | 44.5 | 47.9 | Offshore La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| GFDL | 21.82 | 84.35 | 37.5 | 88.7 | Near La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | -156% | -85%
|
16/0650 UTC 30.2N 87.9W Near Pine Beach, AL 103.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 30.39 | 86.22 | 109.5 | 162.5 | Destin, FL
| AVNO | 29.76 | 84.75 | 93.0 | 307.1 | Apalachicola, FL
| %IMP | -54% | -89%
|
| GFNO | 30.05 | 88.47 | 102.0 | 57.3 | Pascagoula, MS
| GFDL | 30.44 | 86.11 | 89.0 | 89.4 | Seagrove Beach, FL
| %IMP | -1300% | -56%
| |