Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 24 | 15 | 54 | 109 | 100 | 190 | 346 | 423 | 582 | 748
| AVNO | 81 | 64 | 111 | 100 | 162 | 335 | 466 | 595 | 748 | 777
| %IMP | -238% | -307% | -106% | 8% | -62% | -76% | -35% | -41% | -29% | -4%
|
| GFNO | 54 | 81 | 54 | 92 | 164 | 255 | 352 | 446 | 544 | 613
| GFDL | 46 | 24 | 39 | 126 | 231 | 355 | 489 | 594 | 706 | 776
| %IMP | 15% | 70% | 28% | -37% | -41% | -39% | -40% | -33% | -30% | -27%
|
| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -82 | -86 | -79 | -88 | -71 | -76 | -83 | -88 | -74 | -66
| AVNO | -75 | -72 | -70 | -80 | -58 | -71 | -84 | -85 | -69 | -75
| %IMP | 9% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 18% | 7% | -1% | 3% | 7% | -14%
|
| GFNO | -8 | -9 | -5 | -26 | -15 | -23 | -33 | -40 | -26 | -36
| GFDL | -13 | -14 | -6 | -25 | -13 | -30 | -33 | -45 | -39 | -42
| %IMP | -63% | -56% | -20% | 4% | 13% | -30% | 0% | -13% | -50% | -17%
|
| |
11/0330 UTC 17.4N 77.2W 20 n mi S of Portland Point, Jamaica 27.5 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 17.86 | 77.78 | 30.0 | 79.9 | Black River, Jamaica
| AVNO | 17.88 | 76.94 | 25.0 | 60.0 | Kingston, Jamaica
| %IMP | 0% | 25%
|
| GFNO | 17.35 | 78.03 | 29.5 | 88.2 | Near Brokenbank, Jamaica
| GFDL | 17.49 | 77.37 | 29.0 | 20.6 | Near Kingston, Jamaica
| %IMP | 25% | 77%
|
|
12/1415 UTC 18.9N 81.5W 22 n mi SSW of Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island 62.25 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 19.61 | 80.93 | 64.5 | 99.0 | Near Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island
| AVNO | 19.70 | 80.33 | 56.5 | 151.5 | Little Cayman Island
| %IMP | -229% | -53%
|
| GFNO | 19.46 | 80.95 | 54.0 | 84.9 | Near Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island
| GFDL | 20.41 | 80.28 | 57.0 | 210.8 | Offshore Cayman Brac
| %IMP | 36% | -148%
|
14/0100 UTC 21.7N 85.2W 15 n mi SW of Cabo San Antonio, Cuba 97.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 22.10 | 81.30 | 84.0 | 404.5 | Near Cienfuegos, Cienfuegos, Cuba
| AVNO | 22.09 | 81.03 | 72.5 | 432.0 | Near Cienfuegos, Cienfuegos, Cuba
| %IMP | -88% | -7%
|
| GFNO | 22.43 | 83.09 | 76.5 | 231.9 | Los Palacios, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| GFDL | 22.58 | 81.63 | 72.5 | 380.2 | Guira de Macurijes, Matanzas, Cuba
| %IMP | -19% | -64%
|
|
16/0650 UTC 30.2N 87.9W Near Pine Beach, AL 151.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 25.72 | 81.28 | 107.0 | 818.4 | Chokoloskee, FL
| AVNO | 25.51 | 81.22 | 95.5 | 837.9 | Near Chokoloskee, FL
| %IMP | -18% | -2%
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | 26.88 | 82.09 | 100.0 | 676.5 | Port Charlotte, FL
| %IMP |
| |