Effects of Synoptic Surveillance on model forecasts for
21 September 1999 1200 UTC
HARVEY.


QuickTime movie of DLM wind model forecasts
QuickTime movie of DLM wind data increments


TRACK AND INTENSITY PERFORMANCE

TRACK (km)
MODEL12 h24 h36 h48 h60 h72 h84 h96 h108 h120 h
AVNNNo Forecast available
AVALNo Forecast available
%IMP
GFNO133.
GFAL109.
%IMP18%
INTENSITY (kt)
MODEL12 h24 h36 h48 h60 h72 h84 h96 h108 h120 h
AVNNNo Forecast available
AVALNo Forecast available
%IMP
GFNO4.
GFAL19.
%IMP-375%
SHNO5.
SHAL5.
%IMP0%
DSNO-4.
DSAL-4.
%IMP0%

Landfall forecasts

21/1700 UTC 25.9N 81.7W Near Everglades City, FL 5 h into the forecast
MODELLATLONTIMEERRORLOCATION
AVNNNo forecast available
AVALNo forecast available
%IMP
GFNO26.3381.855.050.1 Bonita Springs, FL
GFAL26.0381.705.014.4 Shell Island, FL
%IMP0%71%

Figure 1.

Figure 2.

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Figure 4.