Effects of Synoptic Surveillance on model forecasts for
Hurricane Frances.
Quicktime movie of DLM wind analyses
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
initial
increments
Figure 1a.
Track forecast errors for the no dropwindsonde (NO or NN) and
the all dropwindsonde (AL) runs for the GFS and GFDL models for
the Hurricane Frances synoptic surveillance missions.
Figure 1b.
Track forecast improvements for the GFS and GFDL
models for the the Hurricane Frances synoptic surveillance mission.
(a)
(b)
Figure 2.
Forecast errors for the landfall of Hurricane Frances
on San Salvador Island, Bahamas, in the (a) cross- and
(b) along-track directions for the no dropwindsonde (NO or NN) and
the all dropwindsonde (AL) runs for the GFS and GFDL models.
(a)
(b)
Figure 3.
Forecast errors for the landfall of Hurricane Frances on the
northern end of Cat Island, Bahamas, in the (a) cross- and (b) along-track
directions for the no dropwindsonde (NO or NN) and the all dropwindsonde (AL)
runs for the GFS and GFDL models.
(a)
(b)
Figure 4.
Forecast errors for the landfall of Hurricane Frances on
Eleuthera Island, Bahamas, in the (a) cross- and (b) along-track directions
for the no dropwindsonde (NO or NN) and the all dropwindsonde (AL)
runs for the GFS and GFDL models.
(a)
(b)
Figure 5.
Forecast errors for the landfall of Hurricane Frances on
Grand Bahamas Island, Bahamas, in the (a) cross- and (b) along-track directions
for the no dropwindsonde (NO or NN) and the all dropwindsonde (AL)
runs for the GFS and GFDL models.
(a)
(b)
Figure 6.
Forecast errors for the landfall of Hurricane Frances at the
southern end of Hutchinson Island, FL, in the (a) cross- and (b) along-track
directions for the no dropwindsonde (NO or NN) and the all dropwindsonde (AL)
runs for the GFS and GFDL models.
(a)
(b)
Figure 7.
Forecast errors for the landfall of Hurricane Frances at the
mouth of the Aucilla River, FL, in the (a) cross- and (b) along-track
directions for the no dropwindsonde (NO or NN) and the all dropwindsonde (AL)
runs for the GFS and GFDL models.