Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 87 | 73 | 45 | 38 | 50 | 41 | 88 | 117 | 189 | 213
| AVNO | 33 | 30 | 63 | 78 | 39 | 45 | 93 | 152 | 200 | 227
| %IMP | 62% | 59% | -40% | -105% | 22% | -10% | -6% | -30% | -6% | -7%
|
| GFNO | 39 | 25 | 33 | 88 | 144 | 168 | 257 | 308 | 440 | 523
| GFDL | 33 | 30 | 23 | 134 | 165 | 219 | 315 | 384 | 494 | 585
| %IMP | 15% | -20% | 30% | -52% | -15% | -30% | -23% | -25% | -25% | -12%
|
| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -10 | -7 | -5 | -5 | -8 | -6 | -11 | -21 | -11 | 3
| AVNO | -8 | -5 | -6 | -11 | -9 | -5 | -14 | -30 | -19 | -5
| %IMP | 20% | 29% | -20% | -120% | -13% | 17% | -28% | -43% | -73% | -67%
|
| GFNO | 17 | 24 | 18 | 21 | 45 | 53 | 30 | 14 | 5 | -9
| GFDL | 22 | 32 | 20 | 28 | 29 | 45 | 35 | 4 | 4 | 2
| %IMP | -29% | -33% | -11% | -33% | 36% | 15% | -17% | 71% | 20% | 78%
| |
28/1115 UTC 19.9N 75.5W Playa Cazonal, Cuba, 17.25 h into the forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 19.98 | 76.57 | 18.5 | 112.1 | Near Bayamo, Granma, Cuba
| AVNO | 19.92 | 75.66 | 16.0 | 16.9 | Near Santiago de Cuba, Santiago de Cuba, Cuba
| %IMP | 0% | 85%
|
| GFNO | 19.93 | 75.88 | 19.5 | 39.8 | Santiago de Cuba, Santiago de Cuba, Cuba
| GFDL | 19.97 | 76.07 | 20.0 | 60.0 | Near Santiago de Cuba, Santiago de Cuba, Cuba
| %IMP | -22% | -51%
|
|
30/0300 UTC 24.9N 80.6W Plantation Key, FL, 57 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 24.80 | 80.90 | 54.5 | 32.2 | Duck Key, FL
| AVNO | 25.03 | 80.53 | 53.0 | 16.1 | Tavernier, FL
| %IMP | -60% | 50%
|
| GFNO | 24.50 | 81.93 | 59.0 | 141.4 | Key West, FL
| GFDL | 24.40 | 82.10 | 60.0 | 151.3 | Key West, FL
| %IMP | -33% | -7%
|
|
30/0500 UTC 25.2N 80.7W Southwestern Miami-Dade County, FL, 59 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 25.11 | 81.19 | 58.0 | 50.3 | Flamingo, FL
| AVNO | 25.14 | 80.66 | 54.5 | 7.8 | Florida City, FL
| %IMP | -350% | 84%
|
| GFNO | 26.51 | 82.43 | 73.5 | 226.1 | Captiva, FL
| GFDL | 27.74 | 82.75 | 85.5 | 348.1 | St. Petersburg, FL
| %IMP | -83% | -54%
|
|
01/0340 UTC 33.9N 78.1W Oak Island, NC, 105.75 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 34.07 | 77.92 | 115.5 | 25.1 | Kure Beach, NC
| AVNO | 33.78 | 77.97 | 114.5 | 17.9 | Smith Island, NC
| %IMP | 10% | 29%
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP
| |