Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 49 | 98 | 153 | 76 | 111 | 165 | 271 | 372 | 359 | 337
| AVNO | 46 | 70 | 127 | 75 | 156 | 89 | 69 | 88 | 104 | 129
| %IMP | 6% | 29% | 17% | 1% | -41% | 46% | 75% | 76% | 71% | 62%
|
| GFNO | 77 | 100 | 144 | 135 | 127 | 147 | 189 | 135 | 145 | 136
| GFDL | 74 | 113 | 152 | 147 | 195 | 267 | 312 | 255 | 275 | 238
| %IMP | 4% | -13% | -6% | -9% | -54% | -82% | -65% | -89% | -90% | -75%
|
| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -58 | -81 | -84 | -63 | -41 | -75 | -78 | -3 | 13 | 4
| AVNO | -49 | -77 | -83 | -46 | -21 | -34 | -47 | 6 | -2 | -2
| %IMP | 16% | 5% | 1% | 27% | 49% | 55% | 40% | -100% | 85% | 50%
|
| GFNO | -10 | -17 | -6 | 6 | 30 | -4 | -28 | -6 | -0 | 3
| GFDL | -4 | -18 | -32 | 2 | 16 | -21 | -57 | -14 | -8 | 5
| %imp | 60% | -6% | -433% | 67% | 47% | -425% | -104% | -133% | und% | -67%
|
| |
08/0245 UTC 19.9N 77.6W Punta del Ingles, Cuba, 26.75 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 19.92 | 77.19 | 22.5 | 42.9 | Near Bartolome Maso, Granma, Cuba
| AVNO | 19.91 | 77.19 | 23.5 | 42.8 | Near Bartolome Maso, Granma, Cuba
| %IMP | 24% | 0%
|
| GFNO | 19.82 | 77.79 | 23.5 | 21.8 | Near Niquero, Granma, Cuba
| GFDL | 19.88 | 77.07 | 21.5 | 55.4 | Near Bartolome Maso, Granma, Cuba
| %IMP | 62% | -154%
|
|
08/1845 UTC 22.1N 80.7W just west of Punta Mangles Altos, Cuba, 42.75 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 21.57 | 79.09 | 31.5 | 176.2 | Near Banao, Sancti Spiritus, Cuba
| AVNO | 22.14 | 80.46 | 38.0 | 25.1 | Cienfuegos, Cienfuegos, Cuba
| %IMP | 58% | 86%
|
| GFNO | 22.08 | 81.22 | 39.0 | 53.6 | Near Jaguey Grande, Matanzas, Cuba
| GFDL | 21.60 | 79.48 | 32.5 | 137.5 | Near Banao, Sancti Spiritus, Cuba
| %IMP | -173% | -157%
|
10/1930 UTC 30.4N 87.1W Santa Rosa Island, FL, 91.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 29.78 | 89.38 | 103.5 | 229.8 | St. Malo, LA
| AVNO | 30.22 | 87.95 | 93.0 | 83.9 | Gulf Shores, AL
| %IMP | 87% | 63%
|
| GFNO | 30.42 | 86.49 | 85.0 | 58.5 | Destin, FL
| GFDL | 29.68 | 85.34 | 77.0 | 187.2 | Port St. Joe, FL
| %IMP | -123% | -220%
| |