Saturday, August 20, 2005

	There has been no change in plans for the aircraft from the previous day.  There 
will be a test flight involving N43RF and the NRL P-3 on Monday, August 22, takeoff 
time 14 UTC.  This will be a short (1-2 hr) flight intended to test communications 
between the aircraft and the ground and interference by N43RF for the satellite 
communications for the NRL P-3.  N42RF is still undergoing instrument integration, and 
will not be ready to fly until Tuesday.  Depending on how the communications tests go 
on Monday, the NRL P-3 may or may not fly with N42RF on Tuesday.
	The tropics are still quiet.  The remnants are T.D. #10 remain disorganized (Fig. 
12) and there is little chance for regeneration.  Some of the mesoscale model runs, such 
as MM5 and WRF run using the CMC boundary conditions, suggest the possibility of the 
development of a tropical cyclone from these remnants within 3 days, so the system will 
continue to be watched.  Elsewhere there is convection spread throughout the Caribbean  
but little organization.  Further east, a wave with significant cold cloud tops has moved 
off of Africa (Fig. 13).  Some of the GFS ensemble members suggest this wave will 
develop within 24-48 h (Fig. 14), but there is a band of dry air in advance of the wave 
(Fig. 15) that may inhibit or at least restrain development of the wave.