Year | NS | NSD | H | HD | IH* | IHD* | HDP* | NTC* |
1950 | 13 | 98 | 11 | 60 | 7 | 15.75 | 200 | 243 |
1951 | 10 | 58 | 8 | 36 | 2 | 5.00 | 113 | 121 |
1952 | 7 | 40 | 6 | 23 | 3 | 3.75 | 70 | 97 |
1953 | 14 | 64 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 5.50 | 59 | 121 |
1954 | 11 | 44 | 8 | 32 | 2 | 8.50 | 91 | 127 |
1955 | 12 | 82 | 9 | 47 | 5 | 13.75 | 158 | 198 |
1956 | 8 | 30 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 2.25 | 39 | 69 |
1957 | 8 | 38 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 66 | 86 |
1958 | 10 | 56 | 7 | 30 | 4 | 8.25 | 94 | 140 |
1959 | 11 | 41 | 7 | 22 | 2 | 3.75 | 60 | 99 |
1960 | 7 | 30 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 10.75 | 72 | 101 |
1961 | 11 | 71 | 8 | 48 | 6 | 20.75 | 170 | 222 |
1962 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0.00 | 26 | 33 |
1963 | 9 | 52 | 7 | 37 | 2 | 5.50 | 103 | 116 |
1964 | 12 | 71 | 6 | 43 | 5 | 9.75 | 139 | 168 |
1965 | 6 | 40 | 4 | 27 | 1 | 6.25 | 73 | 86 |
1966 | 11 | 62 | 7 | 42 | 3 | 7.00 | 121 | 140 |
1967 | 8 | 58 | 6 | 36 | 1 | 3.25 | 98 | 97 |
1968 | 7 | 26 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 18 | 41 |
1969 | 17 | 84 | 12 | 40 | 3 | 2.75 | 110 | 157 |
1970 | 10 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1.00 | 18 | 65 |
1971 | 13 | 63 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 1.00 | 65 | 95 |
1972 | 4 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 14 | 28 |
1973 | 7 | 33 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0.25 | 24 | 52 |
1974 | 7 | 32 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 4.25 | 46 | 76 |
1975 | 8 | 43 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 2.25 | 54 | 92 |
1976 | 8 | 45 | 6 | 26 | 2 | 1.00 | 65 | 85 |
1977 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1.00 | 18 | 46 |
1978 | 11 | 40 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 3.50 | 40 | 86 |
1979 | 8 | 44 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 5.75 | 73 | 96 |
1980 | 11 | 60 | 9 | 38 | 2 | 7.25 | 126 | 135 |
1981 | 11 | 61 | 7 | 22 | 3 | 3.75 | 63 | 114 |
1982 | 5 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1.25 | 18 | 37 |
1983 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 8 | 32 |
1984 | 12 | 51 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 0.75 | 42 | 77 |
1985 | 11 | 51 | 7 | 21 | 3 | 4.00 | 61 | 110 |
1986 | 6 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 23 | 38 |
1987 | 7 | 37 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.50 | 11 | 48 |
1988 | 12 | 47 | 5 | 24 | 3 | 8.00 | 81 | 121 |
1989 | 11 | 66 | 7 | 32 | 2 | 10.75 | 108 | 140 |
1990 | 14 | 68 | 8 | 28 | 1 | 1.00 | 57 | 104 |
1991 | 8 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1.25 | 23 | 59 |
Four-month extrapolated | Previous Aug-Sep | Previous Aug-Nov | Feb - May | ||||
U50 ms-1 | U30 ms-1 | [U50 - U30] ms-1 | |||||
Rs | Rg | DxP | DxT | ||||
Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
1950 | -3.00 | -3.00 | .00 | -.12 | 1.09 | .52 | 1.55 |
1951 | -4.00 | -18.00 | 14.00 | 1.71 | -.65 | .81 | -.62 |
1952 | -22.00 | -26.00 | 4.00 | .52 | .67 | 1.47 | -.21 |
1953 | -1.00 | -18.00 | 17.00 | .96 | .42 | 1.30 | -.24 |
1954 | -22.00 | -30.00 | 8.00 | .23 | -.14 | .09 | -.28 |
1955 | .00 | -8.00 | 8.00 | .63 | .66 | 1.71 | .75 |
1956 | -20.00 | -30.00 | 10.00 | 1.03 | .43 | .21 | -1.25 |
1957 | -2.00 | -1.00 | 1.00 | .50 | -.34 | .58 | .62 |
1958 | -12.00 | -29.00 | 17.00 | .60 | 1.04 | .94 | .50 |
1959 | -7.00 | -1.00 | 6.00 | 1.48 | -.73 | -.17 | -.95 |
1960 | -8.00 | -30.00 | 22.00 | .27 | .13 | .90 | .81 |
1961 | -3.00 | -5.00 | 2.00 | .25 | 1.06 | 2.03 | 2.98 |
1962 | -12.00 | -30.00 | 18.00 | .50 | -.73 | .03 | 1.48 |
1963 | -12.00 | -1.00 | 11.00 | .30 | .75 | .18 | .68 |
1964 | -4.00 | -12.00 | 8.00 | -.10 | 1.20 | .25 | 1.16 |
1965 | -17.00 | -31.00 | 14.00 | .62 | -.66 | -.07 | .76 |
1966 | -7.00 | -1.00 | 6.00 | .78 | -.16 | .56 | 1.34 |
1967 | -8.00 | -26.00 | 18.00 | .36 | -.13 | -.50 | -.32 |
1968 | -22.00 | -14.00 | 8.00 | .75 | -.49 | -.60 | -.43 |
1969 | -2.00 | -2.00 | .00 | -.81 | 1.30 | .22 | .27 |
1970 | -12.00 | -31.00 | 19.00 | .40 | -.29 | .27 | .64 |
1971 | -3.00 | -3.00 | .00 | -.44 | -.21 | -1.16 | -1.77 |
1972 | -12.00 | -30.00 | 18.00 | -.17 | -.38 | -1.15 | -1.18 |
1973 | -1.00 | -5.00 | 4.00 | -1.09 | -.87 | -.52 | -.80 |
1974 | -14.00 | -31.00 | 17.00 | -.71 | .45 | -1.20 | -.92 |
1975 | -7.00 | -1.00 | 6.00 | -.02 | -.06 | -1.14 | -.09 |
1976 | -6.00 | -26.00 | 20.00 | .08 | -.54 | -1.62 | -.23 |
1977 | -21.00 | -14.00 | 7.00 | -.48 | -.58 | .01 | 1.22 |
1978 | -1.00 | -12.00 | 11.00 | -.73 | -.49 | -.41 | -.23 |
1979 | -17.00 | -31.00 | 14.00 | -.34 | -.71 | -.58 | .49 |
1980 | -5.00 | -2.00 | 3.00 | -.90 | .57 | -.88 | -.43 |
1981 | -12.00 | -29.00 | 17.00 | -.32 | .38 | -.21 | .33 |
1982 | -18.00 | -1.00 | 17.00 | -.42 | -.91 | -1.10 | -.81 |
1983 | -2.00 | -18.00 | 16.00 | -.89 | -.60 | .13 | .26 |
1984 | -20.00 | -14.00 | 6.00 | -1.22 | -1.31 | -.07 | -.10 |
1985 | -1.00 | -7.00 | 6.00 | -1.21 | .06 | -.47 | -.83 |
1986 | -14.00 | -28.00 | 14.00 | -.50 | .14 | -1.82 | -1.61 |
1987 | -21.00 | -3.00 | 18.00 | .02 | -.48 | .12 | -.37 |
1988 | -3.00 | -18.00 | 15.00 | -.61 | 1.39 | -.21 | -.55 |
1989 | -21.00 | -31.00 | 10.00 | .44 | .36 | .29 | .51 |
1990 | -2.00 | -2.00 | .00 | .15 | .20 | .54 | 1.65 |
1991 | -12.00 | -29.00 | 17.00 | -.79 | -.57 | -1.34 | -1.16 |
Table 2: Continued
Year | Apr-May | (Apr-May)-(Jan-Feb) | Apr-May | (Apr-May)-(Jan-Feb) | ||
SLPA | ZWA | SST | DtSST | SOI | DtSOI | |
mb | ms-1 | 10 -2°C | 10 -2°C | 10-1 | 10-1 | |
8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
1950 | -.30 | 1.50 | -93.00 | 41.00 | 10.80 | .00 |
1951 | -.20 | 1.50 | 34.00 | 64.00 | -9.50 | -18.70 |
1952 | -.20 | -2.50 | 26.00 | -43.00 | .50 | 9.00 |
1953 | -.30 | -.50 | 83.00 | 48.00 | -13.20 | -10.40 |
1954 | -.10 | -1.50 | -99.00 | -106.00 | 4.50 | 4.60 |
1955 | -.10 | -.50 | -84.00 | -42.00 | 3.10 | -1.40 |
1956 | -.20 | -.50 | -62.00 | 47.00 | 12.60 | 1.10 |
1957 | .40 | 1.20 | 83.00 | 112.00 | -5.80 | -6.50 |
1958 | -1.20 | -3.50 | 68.00 | -55.00 | -4.00 | 8.30 |
1959 | .00 | .20 | 34.00 | -3.00 | 4.20 | 16.10 |
1960 | -.20 | -2.50 | 5.00 | 12.00 | 6.00 | 6.70 |
1961 | .70 | -2.00 | 13.00 | -2.00 | 4.90 | 3.60 |
1962 | .20 | -3.70 | -50.00 | -28.00 | 5.70 | .00 |
1963 | -.10 | .00 | 20.00 | 60.00 | 4.90 | -.70 |
1964 | .30 | .40 | -67.00 | -106.00 | 4.10 | 7.30 |
1965 | -.30 | 4.00 | 58.00 | 84.00 | -5.40 | -3.70 |
1966 | .00 | .50 | 3.00 | -100.00 | -6.90 | 1.80 |
1967 | .30 | 2.10 | -12.00 | 34.00 | -2.90 | -16.30 |
1968 | .60 | 1.80 | -47.00 | 37.00 | 5.70 | -.70 |
1969 | -1.20 | -4.40 | 92.00 | 13.00 | -6.90 | 4.00 |
1970 | -.20 | -.80 | 19.00 | -63.00 | -1.00 | 10.50 |
1971 | .20 | .50 | -61.00 | 67.00 | 14.40 | 5.60 |
1972 | .00 | 1.50 | 68.00 | 88.00 | -14.60 | -19.80 |
1973 | .50 | -4.40 | - 17.00 | -147.00 | .50 | 9.80 |
1974 | 1.20 | 3.30 | -53.00 | 70.00 | 10.00 | -8.20 |
1975 | .40 | 1.30 | -57.00 | -2.00 | 9.30 | 9.90 |
1976 | .70 | 2.20 | -33.00 | 93.00 | 1.60 | -10.40 |
1977 | .50 | .90 | 12.00 | -42.00 | -8.80 | -11.00 |
1978 | -.20 | -1.30 | -38.00 | -76.00 | 4.20 | 19.50 |
1979 | .00 | 1.50 | 32.00 | 24.00 | -.30 | -1.10 |
1980 | .10 | .20 | 46.00 | -13.00 | -7.20 | -8.70 |
1981 | -.80 | 2.10 | -24.00 | -8.00 | 1.60 | 2.70 |
1982 | .20 | 3.40 | 48.00 | 35.00 | -4.70 | -9.00 |
1983 | -1.10 | 2.50 | 145.00 | -88.00 | -5.00 | 28.60 |
1984 | .30 | -2.50 | 3.00 | 23.00 | .80 | -2.20 |
1985 | .30 | .30 | -70.00 | 18.00 | 7.80 | 7.00 |
1986 | -.50 | 4.30 | 13.00 | 68.00 | -2.50 | -.20 |
1987 | -1.10 | 2.60 | 123.00 | 8.00 | -21.60 | -11.10 |
1988 | .00 | -1.60 | -78.00 | -138.00 | 3.50 | 7.40 |
1989 | .90 | 1.60 | -35.00 | 70.00 | 14.00 | .00 |
1990 | -.10 | .00 | 45.00 | 45.00 | 5.50 | 18.50 |
1991 | .50 | 4.20 | 60.00 | 40.00 | -12.50 | -15.00 |
QBO | NS | NSD | H | HD | IH* | IHD* | HDP* | NTC* | |
U50 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.37 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.25 | 0.37 | 0.41 | |
U30 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.24 | 0.09 | 0.26 | 0.28 | |
[ U50 - U30 ] | -0.51 | -0.49 | -0.53 | -0.48 | -0.32 | -0.23 | -0.41 | -0.44 | |
AFRICA | Rs | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.23 | 0.10 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.18 |
Rg | 0.51 | 0.61 | 0.58 | 0.60 | 0.69 | 0.60 | 0.64 | 0.70 | |
DxP | 0.35 | 0.44 | 0.37 | 0.44 | 0.55 | 0.61 | 0.50 | 0.57 | |
DxT | 0.19 | 0.38 | 0.32 | 0.47 | 0.48 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 0.51 | |
Caribbean and ENSO | SLPA | -0.14 | -0.12 | -0.18 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.08 | 0.00 | -0.04 |
ZWA | -0.38 | -0.23 | -0.30 | -0.18 | -0.22 | -0.18 | -0.19 | -0.26 | |
SST | -0.22 | -0.24 | -0.22 | -0.31 | -0.29 | -0.28 | -0.31 | -0.31 | |
DtSST | -0.11 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | -0.23 | -0.12 | -0.05 | -0.12 | |
SOI | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 0.29 | |
DtSOI | 0.22 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.05 | -0.01 | 0.10 |
b0 | b1 | b2 | b3 | |
NS | 12.378141 | .165112 | .631170 | -.271436 |
NSD | 68.855472 | 1.040898 | .798522 | -19.513325 |
H | 9.754466 | .138935 | .507379 | -2.588458 |
HD | 41.268825 | .651320 | 3.880723 | -13.128793 |
IH* | 2.519881 | -.025233 | -.405885 | .018736 |
IHD* | 6.338632 | .152666 | -1.601894 | -1.063583 |
HDP* | 112.947660 | 1.512232 | 8.571396 | -34.827567 |
NTC* | 146.7669 | 2.0802 | -2.2472 | -17.0237 |
NS | NSD | H | HD | IH* | IHD* | HDP* | NTC* | |
QBO | ||||||||
a1 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 |
a2 | -0.0714 | -0.0729 | -0.3662 | -0.3971 | 0.4160 | -0.2182 | -0.3153 | -0.1021 |
a3 | -0.9199 | -1.2538 | -2.1072 | -2.0173 | 0.2899 | -0.7551 | -1.8143 | -1.1884 |
AFRICA | ||||||||
a4 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.00 00 |
a5 | 2.4308 | 8.4673 | 0.5335 | 0.5796 | -2.4883 | -1.0317 | 1.3122 | -7.7489 |
a6 | -.04778 | 1.0972 | -1.3485 | -0.4836 | -2.4395 | -1.6112 | 0.2809 | -5.4734 |
a7 | -0.6367 | 7.2463 | 0.8690 | 1.4982 | -0.6668 | -.9943 | 2.7448 | -9.3565 |
ENSO | ||||||||
a8 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 |
a9 | -0.1987 | -0.0294 | 0.06667 | -0.0667 | 5.8344 | -0.6537 | -0.0889 | -0.0824 |
a10 | 0.0713 | 0.0054 | -0.0012 | -0.0055 | -0.6297 | 0.0103 | -0.0016 | 0.0098 |
a11 | -0.0430 | 0.0002 | 0.0016 | 0.0113 | 0.0171 | 0.01667 | 0.0088 | 0.0024 |
a12 | 0.7902 | -0.0037 | -0.0521 | -0.1327 | -1.4853 | -0.1748 | -0.1166 | -0.0687 |
a13 | -0.4711 | 0.0437 | 0.0631 | 0.1258 | 0.1546 | 0.2521 | 0.1199 | 0.1416 |
r | P | r2 | |
NS | .514 | .70 x 10-7 | .425 |
NSD | .660 | .46 x 10-10 | .688 |
H | .617 | .10 x 10-8 | .595 |
HD | .703 | .46 x 10-11 | .736 |
IH* | .637 | .34 x 10-8 | .703 |
IHD* | .614 | .38 x 10-8 | .654 |
HDP* | .711 | .60 x 10-11 | .751 |
NTC* | .718 | .27 x 10-10 | .760 |