Verification statistics for: AL152007 FIFTEEN Model(s) verified: GFDL H3D4 H3H4 H9D4 H9H4 H3C4 H3N4 OCD5 Min, max wind speed verified: 00 200 kt. Subtropical stage (if any) included. Extratropical stage (if any) included. Dissipation stage excluded. Only includes forecasts verifying during RI. BEST TRACK POSITION ERRORS WIND ERRORS DTG LAT LON WS MODL 0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168 0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168 ====================================================================================================================================================================== 2007101112 29.5 52.6 30 GFDL -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999 H3D4 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999 H3H4 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999 H9D4 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999 H9H4 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999 H3C4 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999 H3N4 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999 OCD5 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999 2007101118 30.1 51.0 30 GFDL -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999 H3D4 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 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49.4 25 GFDL -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999 H3D4 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999 H3H4 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999 H9D4 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999 H9H4 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999-9999 H3C4 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 -9999 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-999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 FSP (%): -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 # CASES: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 # CASES: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ALTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 # CASES: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Model: H3C4 AVERAGE: -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 Model: üÿÿ AVERAGE: -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 BIAS: ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/ FSP (%): -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 FSP (%): -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 # CASES: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 # CASES: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ALTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 # CASES: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Model: H3N4 AVERAGE: -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 Model: üÿÿ AVERAGE: -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 BIAS: ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/ FSP (%): -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 FSP (%): -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 # CASES: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 # CASES: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ALTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 # CASES: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Model: OCD5 AVERAGE: -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 Model: üÿÿ AVERAGE: -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 BIAS: ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/*** ***/ FSP (%): -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 FSP (%): -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 # CASES: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 # CASES: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ALTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK ERR: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK BIAS: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK STDV: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 ALTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 CRTK TIND: -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 -999.0 # CASES: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0