*   ATLC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS        *
                    *      GOES DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *      OHC  DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *  AL03        AL032010  07/22/10  18 UTC   *

++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++

   ** 2010 ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII AL032010 AL03       07/22/10  18 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   0.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  1.3
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :  13.9 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.6
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  -4.4 Range:-21.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.1/  0.2
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 126.4 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/  0.7
 850-700 MB REL HUM (%):  68.8 Range: 56.0 to  85.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.3
 % area w/pixels <-30 C:  51.0 Range: 17.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.0
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  27.8 Range: 30.6 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.1/  0.2
 Heat content (KJ/cm2) :  58.4 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.0

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    18% is   1.4 times the sample mean(12.6%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    10% is   1.3 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=     1% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=     1% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 3.4%)

++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++
                    FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND       

AL03       Initial vmax, lat, lon:    30.   22.2   -74.9

 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     4%,   no lightning input, exper. algorithm
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     6%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm

Recent Lightning Density History  (Strikes/km2-year)
Date/Time    Inner core (0-100 km)  Rainband (300-400 km)
10 0722 18     8.0                    46.4
10 0722 12     3.2                     1.9

Sample mean:  21.5                    14.7

 Note: Inner core lightning <  sample mean favors RI
       Rainband lightning   >  sample mean favors RI

++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++
                    FOR JHT     

      ** 2010 EXPERIMENTAL ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII AL032010 AL03       07/22/10  18 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   0.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/ -0.6
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :  13.9 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  1.0
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  -4.4 Range:-21.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.1/  0.2
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 126.4 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.0/  0.0
 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm:  35.1 Range: 94.6 to   0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.3
 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP  :   2.1 Range:  2.2 to  -2.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.0/  0.0
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  27.8 Range: 30.6 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.1/  0.2
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  58.4 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.4
 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2): 171.4 Range:648.0 to  15.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.7

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=     7% is   0.5 times the sample mean(12.6%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     4% is   0.5 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=     1% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=     1% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 3.4%)