*   ATLC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS        *
                    *      GOES DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *      OHC  DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *  AL01        AL012010  06/26/10  18 UTC   *

++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++

   ** 2010 ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII AL012010 AL01       06/26/10  18 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):  15.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  1.7
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   6.2 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  1.0
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  71.6 Range:-21.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.8
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 100.7 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.5
 850-700 MB REL HUM (%):  83.2 Range: 56.0 to  85.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  0.6
 % area w/pixels <-30 C:  99.0 Range: 17.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/  0.1
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :   6.5 Range: 30.6 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  1.5
 Heat content (KJ/cm2) :  23.0 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.2/  0.0

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    70% is   5.5 times the sample mean(12.6%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    65% is   8.0 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    44% is   9.1 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=    26% is   7.7 times the sample mean( 3.4%)

++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++
                    FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND       

AL01       Initial vmax, lat, lon:    50.   17.2   -87.3

 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    51%,   no lightning input, exper. algorithm
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    56%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm

Recent Lightning Density History  (Strikes/km2-year)
Date/Time    Inner core (0-100 km)  Rainband (300-400 km)
10 0626 18    22.4                     4.8
10 0626 12    26.7                     6.2
10 0626 06     0.7                    11.6
10 0626 00     5.4                    16.3

Sample mean:  21.5                    14.7

 Note: Inner core lightning <  sample mean favors RI
       Rainband lightning   >  sample mean favors RI

++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++
                    FOR JHT     

 ** 2010 EXPERIMENTAL(v2) ATLANTIC  RI INDEX AL012010 AL01       06/26/10  18 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):  15.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  1.6
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   6.2 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  1.2
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  71.6 Range:-21.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.7
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 100.7 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/ -0.1
 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm:  18.5 Range: 94.6 to   0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.4
 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP  :  -0.3 Range:  2.2 to  -2.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.7
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :   6.5 Range: 30.6 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  1.4
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  23.0 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.2/  0.2
 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2):  77.6 Range:648.0 to  15.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  0.9
 MAXIMUM WIND (kt)     :  50.0 Range: 25.0 to 110.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.2

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    56% is   4.4 times the sample mean(12.6%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    46% is   5.7 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    38% is   7.9 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=    19% is   5.5 times the sample mean( 3.4%)