*   ATLC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS        *
                    *      GOES DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *      OHC  DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *  AL04        AL042009  08/16/09  12 UTC   *

++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++

   ** 2009 ATLANTIC Re-run RII AL042009 AL04       08/16/09  12 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   5.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  1.4
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :  15.2 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.6
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  -0.2 Range:-21.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.1/  0.2
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 110.2 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.6
 850-700 MB REL HUM (%):  68.2 Range: 56.0 to  85.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.3
 % area w/pixels <-30 C:  44.0 Range: 17.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.0
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  22.1 Range: 30.6 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.5
 Heat content (KJ/cm2) :  14.8 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.1/  0.0

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    19% is   1.5 times the sample mean(12.6%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    12% is   1.5 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=     8% is   1.6 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=     4% is   1.0 times the sample mean( 3.4%)

++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++
                    FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND       

AL04       Initial vmax, lat, lon:    30.   28.2   -84.2

 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     3%,   no lightning input, exper. algorithm
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     0%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm

Recent Lightning Density History  (Strikes/km2-year)
Date/Time    Inner core (0-100 km)  Rainband (300-400 km)
09 0816 12   409.6                     3.2
09 0816 06    14.1                     9.7

Sample mean:  21.5                    14.7

 Note: Inner core lightning <  sample mean favors RI
       Rainband lightning   >  sample mean favors RI

++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++
                    FOR JHT     

      ** 2009 EXPERIMENTAL RE-RUN ATLANTIC RII AL042009 AL04       08/16/09  12 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   5.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/ -0.5
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :  15.2 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.9
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  -0.2 Range:-21.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.1/  0.2
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 110.2 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.3
 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm:   0.0 Range: 94.6 to   0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/  0.4
 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP  :   0.4 Range:  2.2 to  -2.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.5
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  22.1 Range: 30.6 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.6
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  14.8 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.1/  0.1
 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2): 171.8 Range:648.0 to  15.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.6

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    11% is   0.9 times the sample mean(12.6%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     8% is   1.0 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=     3% is   0.7 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=     0% is   0.0 times the sample mean( 3.4%)