*   EPAC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS        *
                    *      GOES DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *      OHC  DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *  EP10        EP102009  08/12/09  18 UTC   *

++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++

   ** 2009 E. Pacific Re-run RII EP102009 EP10       08/12/09  18 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   5.0 Range:-20.0 to  35.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  1.1
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   6.4 Range: 15.2 to   1.6 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.8
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  44.6 Range:-10.0 to 126.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.3
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 112.3 Range: 46.6 to 131.4 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.8
 850-700 MB REL HUM (%):  80.6 Range: 64.0 to  88.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.1
 % area w/pixels <-30 C:  87.0 Range: 26.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.3
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  15.3 Range: 35.4 to   2.7 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  1.0
 Heat content (KJ/cm2) :  22.0 Range:  4.0 to  67.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.2

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    44% is   3.8 times the sample mean(11.8%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    29% is   3.6 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    25% is   4.3 times the sample mean( 5.7%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=    16% is   3.8 times the sample mean( 4.1%)

++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++
                    FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND       

EP10       Initial vmax, lat, lon:    30.   15.6  -117.1

 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    12%,   no lightning input, exper. algorithm
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    12%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm

Recent Lightning Density History  (Strikes/km2-year)
Date/Time    Inner core (0-100 km)  Rainband (300-400 km)
09 0812 18     0.0                     1.6
09 0812 12     0.0                     0.8

Sample mean:  14.9                     7.9

 Note: Inner core lightning <  sample mean favors RI
       Rainband lightning   >  sample mean favors RI

++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++
                    FOR JHT     

      ** 2009 EXPERIMENTAL E. PACIFIC  RII EP102009 EP10       08/12/09  18 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   5.0 Range:-20.0 to  35.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  2.3
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   6.4 Range: 15.2 to   1.6 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.9
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  44.6 Range:-10.0 to 126.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.5
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 112.3 Range: 46.6 to 131.4 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.7
 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm:   0.0 Range: 45.0 to   0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/  0.3
 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP  :  -0.4 Range:  1.9 to  -1.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/ -0.1
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  15.3 Range: 35.4 to   2.7 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  1.4
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  22.0 Range:  4.0 to  67.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.2
 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2):  68.4 Range:580.0 to -18.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/ -0.9

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    52% is   4.4 times the sample mean(11.7%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    29% is   3.7 times the sample mean( 7.9%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    18% is   3.3 times the sample mean( 5.5%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=    15% is   3.9 times the sample mean( 3.8%)