*   EPAC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS        *
                    *      GOES DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *      OHC  DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *  EP04        EP042009  07/10/09  12 UTC   *

++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++

   ** 2009 E. Pacific Re-run RII EP042009 EP04       07/10/09  12 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   5.0 Range:-20.0 to  35.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  1.1
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   3.4 Range: 15.2 to   1.6 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  1.0
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  19.2 Range:-10.0 to 126.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.2/  0.1
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 125.5 Range: 46.6 to 131.4 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  0.9
 850-700 MB REL HUM (%):  79.4 Range: 64.0 to  88.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.1
 % area w/pixels <-30 C:  51.0 Range: 26.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.1
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  18.4 Range: 35.4 to   2.7 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.8
 Heat content (KJ/cm2) :  62.8 Range:  4.0 to  67.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  0.6

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    47% is   4.0 times the sample mean(11.8%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    39% is   4.9 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    33% is   5.8 times the sample mean( 5.7%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=     1% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 4.1%)

++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++
                    FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND       

EP04       Initial vmax, lat, lon:    30.   10.0  -112.2

 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    43%,   no lightning input, exper. algorithm
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    46%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm

Recent Lightning Density History  (Strikes/km2-year)
Date/Time    Inner core (0-100 km)  Rainband (300-400 km)
09 0710 12     0.0                     0.0

Sample mean:  14.9                     7.9

 Note: Inner core lightning <  sample mean favors RI
       Rainband lightning   >  sample mean favors RI

++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++
                    FOR JHT     

      ** 2009 EXPERIMENTAL E. PACIFIC  RII EP042009 EP04       07/10/09  12 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   5.0 Range:-20.0 to  35.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  2.3
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   3.4 Range: 15.2 to   1.6 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  1.2
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  19.2 Range:-10.0 to 126.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.2/  0.3
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 125.5 Range: 46.6 to 131.4 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.2/  0.2
 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm:   0.0 Range: 45.0 to   0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/  0.3
 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP  :  -0.9 Range:  1.9 to  -1.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/ -0.1
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  18.4 Range: 35.4 to   2.7 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  1.2
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  62.8 Range:  4.0 to  67.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  0.6
 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2):  99.2 Range:580.0 to -18.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/ -0.9

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    37% is   3.1 times the sample mean(11.7%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    27% is   3.4 times the sample mean( 7.9%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    18% is   3.3 times the sample mean( 5.5%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=     1% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 3.8%)