*   ATLC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS        *
                    *      GOES DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *      OHC  DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *  AL14        AL142008  10/14/08  06 UTC   *

++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++

 ** 2008 ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII AL142008 AL14       10/14/08  06 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   0.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  1.3
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :  31.2 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.0/  0.0
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  -4.8 Range: -6.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.0/  0.0
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   :  87.8 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.3
 850-700 mb RH         :  70.8 Range: 56.0 to  85.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.5
 % area of IR TEMP <-30:   0.0 Range: 17.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.0/  0.0
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :   5.0 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  1.5
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  23.0 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.2/  0.0

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=     4% is   0.3 times the sample mean(12.6%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     3% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=     1% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=     1% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 3.4%)

++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++
                    FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND       

AL14       Initial vmax, lat, lon:    30.   18.1   -42.8

 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     5%,   no lightning input, exper. algorithm
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     4%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm

Recent Lightning Density History  (Strikes/km2-year)
Date/Time    Inner core (0-100 km)  Rainband (300-400 km)
08 1014 06     3.2                     0.0
08 1014 00     0.0                     0.0
08 1013 18     0.0                     2.4
08 1013 12     0.0                     0.0
08 1013 06     0.0                     0.0
08 1013 00     0.0                     1.3
08 1012 18     0.0                     0.0

Sample mean:  21.5                    14.7

 Note: Inner core lightning <  sample mean favors RI
       Rainband lightning   >  sample mean favors RI

++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++
                    FOR JHT     

 ** 2008 EXPERIMENTAL ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII AL142008 AL14       10/14/08  06 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   0.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/ -0.7
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :  31.2 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.0/  0.0
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  -4.8 Range: -6.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.0/  0.0
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   :  87.8 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.7
 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm:  46.2 Range: 94.6 to   0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.2
 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP  :   1.3 Range:  2.2 to  -2.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.2/  0.3
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :   5.0 Range: 26.0 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  1.5
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  23.0 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.2/  0.1
 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2): 173.6 Range:648.0 to  15.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.8

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=     8% is   0.6 times the sample mean(12.6%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     3% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=     1% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=     1% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 3.4%)