*   ATLC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS        *
                    *      GOES DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *      OHC  DATA MISSING, PROXY USED        *
                    *  AL13        AL132008  10/07/08  06 UTC   *

++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++

 ** 2008 ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII AL132008 AL13       10/07/08  06 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   5.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  1.5
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :  15.3 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.7
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :   8.0 Range: -6.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.1/  0.1
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   :  73.8 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.2
 850-700 mb RH         :  76.2 Range: 56.0 to  85.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.7
 % area of IR TEMP <-30:  12.0 Range: 17.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.0/  0.0
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  19.5 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.5
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  45.0 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.0

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=     4% is   0.3 times the sample mean(12.6%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     3% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=     1% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=     1% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 3.4%)

++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++
                    FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND       

AL13       Initial vmax, lat, lon:    55.   19.9   -95.8

 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     5%,   no lightning input, exper. algorithm
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     3%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm

Recent Lightning Density History  (Strikes/km2-year)
Date/Time    Inner core (0-100 km)  Rainband (300-400 km)
08 1007 06    33.6                     9.6
08 1007 00     0.5                     4.7
08 1006 18    21.0                     0.0
08 1006 12    16.4                     2.3

Sample mean:  21.5                    14.7

 Note: Inner core lightning <  sample mean favors RI
       Rainband lightning   >  sample mean favors RI

++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++
                    FOR JHT     

 ** 2008 EXPERIMENTAL ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII AL132008 AL13       10/07/08  06 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   5.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/ -0.8
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :  15.3 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  1.0
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :   8.0 Range: -6.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.1/  0.2
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   :  73.8 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  0.7
 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm:  21.6 Range: 94.6 to   0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.3
 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP  :   0.1 Range:  2.2 to  -2.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.7
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  19.5 Range: 26.0 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.5
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  45.0 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.3
 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2): 200.8 Range:648.0 to  15.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.8

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    18% is   1.5 times the sample mean(12.6%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    12% is   1.5 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=     7% is   1.5 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=     0% is   0.0 times the sample mean( 3.4%)