*   EPAC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS        *
                    *      GOES DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *      OHC  DATA MISSING, PROXY USED        *
                    *  EP11        EP112008  08/24/08  12 UTC   *

++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++

   ** 2008 E. Pacific Re-run RII EP112008 EP11       08/24/08  12 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   5.0 Range:-20.0 to  35.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  1.1
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   8.8 Range: 15.2 to   1.6 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.5
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  21.0 Range:-10.0 to 126.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.2/  0.2
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 113.8 Range: 44.8 to 131.4 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.7
 850-700 MB REL HUM (%):  81.4 Range: 65.0 to  88.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.3
 % area w/pixels <-30 C:  70.0 Range: 26.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.1
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  29.1 Range: 35.4 to   2.7 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.2/  0.3
 Heat content (KJ/cm2) :  35.0 Range:  0.0 to  67.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.5

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    27% is   2.2 times the sample mean(11.8%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    18% is   2.2 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    14% is   2.4 times the sample mean( 5.7%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=     1% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 4.1%)

++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++
                    FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND       

EP11       Initial vmax, lat, lon:    40.   21.9  -109.7

 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     7%,   no lightning input, exper. algorithm
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     5%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm

Recent Lightning Density History  (Strikes/km2-year)
Date/Time    Inner core (0-100 km)  Rainband (300-400 km)
08 0824 12    97.6                    17.6
08 0824 06     5.1                     7.1
08 0824 00     9.6                     0.5
08 0823 18    14.4                     0.0
08 0823 12     0.6                     0.0

Sample mean:  14.9                     7.9

 Note: Inner core lightning <  sample mean favors RI
       Rainband lightning   >  sample mean favors RI

++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++
                    FOR JHT     

      ** 2008 EXPERIMENTAL E. PACIFIC  RII EP112008 EP11       08/24/08  12 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   5.0 Range:-20.0 to  35.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.3
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   8.8 Range: 15.2 to   1.6 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.7
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  21.0 Range:-10.0 to 126.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.2/  0.4
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 113.8 Range: 44.8 to 131.4 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.3
 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm:   6.9 Range: 21.7 to   0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.2
 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP  :  -1.1 Range:  1.9 to  -1.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  0.1
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  29.1 Range: 35.4 to   2.7 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.2/  0.5
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  35.0 Range:  0.0 to  67.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  1.2
 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2):  61.0 Range:580.0 to -18.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/ -0.3

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    21% is   1.8 times the sample mean(11.7%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    13% is   1.7 times the sample mean( 7.9%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=     8% is   1.5 times the sample mean( 5.5%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=     1% is   0.3 times the sample mean( 3.8%)