*   ATLC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS        *
                    *      GOES DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *      OHC  DATA MISSING, PROXY USED        *
                    *  AL06        AL062008  08/16/08  00 UTC   *

++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++

 ** 2008 ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII AL062008 AL06       08/16/08  00 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):  10.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  1.6
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   6.2 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  1.3
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  26.4 Range: -6.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.2/  0.3
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 105.4 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.4
 850-700 mb RH         :  66.0 Range: 56.0 to  85.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.3
 % area of IR TEMP <-30:  95.0 Range: 17.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/ -0.3
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :   9.8 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  1.2
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  56.8 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.0

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    45% is   3.6 times the sample mean(12.6%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    23% is   2.9 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    22% is   4.2 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=    22% is  11.2 times the sample mean( 3.4%)

++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++
                    FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND       

AL06       Initial vmax, lat, lon:    40.   18.6   -70.2

 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    37%,   no lightning input, exper. algorithm
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    31%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm

Recent Lightning Density History  (Strikes/km2-year)
Date/Time    Inner core (0-100 km)  Rainband (300-400 km)
08 0816 00   193.6                     3.2
08 0815 18   145.0                    13.3

Sample mean:  21.5                    14.7

 Note: Inner core lightning <  sample mean favors RI
       Rainband lightning   >  sample mean favors RI

++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++
                    FOR JHT     

 ** 2008 EXPERIMENTAL ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII AL062008 AL06       08/16/08  00 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):  10.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/ -0.8
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   6.2 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  1.8
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  26.4 Range: -6.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.2/  0.4
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 105.4 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.4
 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm:  30.7 Range: 94.6 to   0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.3
 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP  :   0.0 Range:  2.2 to  -2.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.7
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :   9.8 Range: 26.0 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  1.2
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  56.8 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.3
 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2): 279.0 Range:648.0 to  15.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.7

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    35% is   2.8 times the sample mean(12.6%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    23% is   2.8 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    13% is   2.4 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=    13% is   5.0 times the sample mean( 3.4%)