* ATLC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS * * GOES DATA AVAILABLE * * OHC DATA AVAILABLE * * 002008 05/31/08 00 UTC * ++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++ ** 2008 ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII 002008 05/31/08 00 UTC ** ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR) 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT): 5.0 Range:-45.0 to 30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.7/ 1.5 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) : 11.2 Range: 26.2 to 3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.7/ 1.0 D200 (10**7s-1) : 64.0 Range: -6.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.5/ 0.7 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT) : 105.5 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.8/ 0.4 850-700 mb RH : 83.0 Range: 56.0 to 85.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.9/ 0.9 % area of IR TEMP <-30: 85.0 Range: 17.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.8/ -0.3 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP : 12.5 Range: 26.2 to 3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.6/ 1.0 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) : 29.0 Range: 0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.2/ 0.0 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold= 51% is 4.0 times the sample mean(12.6%) Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold= 32% is 3.9 times the sample mean( 8.1%) Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold= 17% is 3.5 times the sample mean( 4.8%) Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold= 14% is 4.2 times the sample mean( 3.4%) ++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++ FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND Initial vmax, lat, lon: 30. 16.9 -87.5 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold= 26%, no lightning input, exper. algorithm Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold= 29%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm Recent Lightning Density History (Strikes/km2-year) Date/Time Inner core (0-100 km) Rainband (300-400 km) 08 0531 00 0.0 6.4 Sample mean: 21.5 14.7 Note: Inner core lightning < sample mean favors RI Rainband lightning > sample mean favors RI ++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++ FOR JHT ** 2008 EXPERIMENTAL ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII 002008 05/31/08 00 UTC ** ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR) 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT): 5.0 Range:-45.0 to 30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.9/ -0.8 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) : 11.2 Range: 26.2 to 3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.7/ 1.3 D200 (10**7s-1) : 64.0 Range: -6.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.5/ 0.8 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT) : 105.5 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.5/ 0.4 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm: 3.2 Range: 94.6 to 0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 1.0/ 0.4 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP :9999.0 Range: 2.2 to -2.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:999.0/999.0 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP : 12.5 Range: 26.0 to 3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.6/ 1.0 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) : 29.0 Range: 0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.2/ 0.2 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2): 58.6 Range:648.0 to 15.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.9/ 1.0 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold= 999% is 999.0 times the sample mean(12.6%) Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold= 999% is 999.0 times the sample mean( 8.1%) Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold= 999% is 999.0 times the sample mean( 4.8%) Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold= 999% is 999.0 times the sample mean( 3.4%)