*   ATLC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS        *
                    *      GOES DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *      OHC  DATA MISSING, PROXY USED        *
                    *                002008  05/30/08  00 UTC   *

++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++

 ** 2008 ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII   002008            05/30/08  00 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   0.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  1.3
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   3.6 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/  1.4
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  94.0 Range: -6.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  1.0
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 104.8 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.4
 850-700 mb RH         :  84.6 Range: 56.0 to  85.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/  1.0
 % area of IR TEMP <-30:  96.0 Range: 17.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/ -0.3
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  10.1 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  1.2
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  45.0 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.0

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    68% is   5.4 times the sample mean(12.6%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    62% is   7.7 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    42% is   8.5 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=    42% is  27.1 times the sample mean( 3.4%)

++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++
                    FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND       

           Initial vmax, lat, lon:    45.   12.9   -87.1

 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    34%,   no lightning input, exper. algorithm
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    42%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm

Recent Lightning Density History  (Strikes/km2-year)
Date/Time    Inner core (0-100 km)  Rainband (300-400 km)
08 0530 00    19.2                    35.2
08 0529 18    11.6                    17.8
08 0529 12     3.4                    58.8
08 0529 06     0.7                    70.4
08 0529 00     0.0                     4.8

Sample mean:  21.5                    14.7

 Note: Inner core lightning <  sample mean favors RI
       Rainband lightning   >  sample mean favors RI

++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++
                    FOR JHT     

 ** 2008 EXPERIMENTAL ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII   002008            05/30/08  00 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   0.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/ -0.7
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   3.6 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/  2.0
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  94.0 Range: -6.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  1.1
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 104.8 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.4
 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm:   1.4 Range: 94.6 to   0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/  0.4
 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP  :   0.2 Range:  2.2 to  -2.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.6
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  10.1 Range: 26.0 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  1.2
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  45.0 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.3
 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2):  37.8 Range:648.0 to  15.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/  1.1

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    58% is   4.6 times the sample mean(12.6%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    57% is   7.0 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    42% is   8.8 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=    34% is  10.0 times the sample mean( 3.4%)