*   ATLC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS        *
                    *      GOES DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *      OHC  DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *  AL18        AL182011  10/24/11  06 UTC   *

++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++

   ** 2011 ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII AL182011 AL18       10/24/11  06 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   5.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  1.5
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :  15.9 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.6
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  33.0 Range:-21.0 to 165.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.4
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 116.8 Range: 33.8 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  0.7
 850-700 MB REL HUM (%):  67.8 Range: 56.0 to  85.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.2
 % area w/pixels <-30 C:  62.0 Range: 17.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.2
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  19.6 Range: 34.1 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.7
 Heat content (KJ/cm2) :  84.0 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.0

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    19% is   1.6 times the sample mean(12.2%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    13% is   1.7 times the sample mean( 7.9%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=     8% is   1.6 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=     5% is   1.5 times the sample mean( 3.3%)

++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++
                    FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND       

AL18       Initial vmax, lat, lon:    35.   16.5   -82.2

 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    19%,   no lightning input, exper. algorithm
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    21%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm

Recent Lightning Density History  (Strikes/km2-year)
Date/Time    Inner core (0-100 km)  Rainband (300-400 km)
11 1024 06  ******                  ******

Sample mean:  21.5                    14.7

 Note: Inner core lightning <  sample mean favors RI
       Rainband lightning   >  sample mean favors RI

++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++
                    FOR JHT     

 ** 2011 EXPERIMENTAL(nudge) ATLANTIC  RI INDEX AL182011 AL18       10/24/11  06 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):   5.0 Range:-49.5 to  33.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  1.4
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :  15.9 Range: 28.8 to   2.9 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.7
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  33.0 Range:-23.1 to 181.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.3
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 116.8 Range: 30.4 to 139.1 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.7
 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm:   0.1 Range:100.0 to   0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/  0.3
 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP  :  -1.8 Range:  2.4 to  -3.1 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  1.2
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  19.6 Range: 37.5 to   2.9 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.7
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  84.0 Range:  0.0 to 143.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.3
 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2): 183.6 Range:960.3 to   4.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.0
 MAXIMUM WIND (kt)     :  35.0 Range: 22.5 to 121.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.3/  0.2

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    46% is   3.8 times the sample mean(12.2%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    25% is   3.2 times the sample mean( 7.9%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    15% is   3.1 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=     9% is   2.7 times the sample mean( 3.3%)