*   ATLC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS        *
                    *      GOES DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *      OHC  DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *  AL21        AL212010  10/30/10  06 UTC   *

++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++

   ** 2010 ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII AL212010 AL21       10/30/10  06 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):  20.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  2.1
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :  12.3 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.7
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  88.2 Range:-21.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.7
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 106.9 Range: 33.8 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.5
 850-700 MB REL HUM (%):  69.2 Range: 56.0 to  85.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.4
 % area w/pixels <-30 C:  99.0 Range: 17.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/  0.1
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  13.1 Range: 30.6 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  1.0
 Heat content (KJ/cm2) :  96.4 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.2

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    55% is   4.5 times the sample mean(12.2%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    41% is   5.1 times the sample mean( 7.9%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    32% is   6.7 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=    15% is   4.7 times the sample mean( 3.3%)

++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++
                    FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND       

AL21       Initial vmax, lat, lon:    55.   12.5   -58.9

 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    65%,   no lightning input, exper. algorithm
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    76%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm

Recent Lightning Density History  (Strikes/km2-year)
Date/Time    Inner core (0-100 km)  Rainband (300-400 km)
10 1030 06  ******                  ******

Sample mean:  21.5                    14.7

 Note: Inner core lightning <  sample mean favors RI
       Rainband lightning   >  sample mean favors RI

++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++
                    FOR JHT     

 ** 2010 EXPERIMENTAL(nudge) ATLANTIC  RI INDEX AL212010 AL21       10/30/10  06 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):  20.0 Range:-49.5 to  33.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  1.8
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :  12.3 Range: 28.8 to   2.9 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.8
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  88.2 Range:-23.1 to 154.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.5
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 106.9 Range: 30.4 to 139.1 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.0
 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm:   3.1 Range:100.0 to   0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/  0.4
 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP  :   0.7 Range:  2.4 to  -2.4 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.5
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  13.1 Range: 33.7 to   2.9 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.9
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  96.4 Range:  0.0 to 143.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.7
 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2): 236.0 Range:733.7 to  13.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.8
 MAXIMUM WIND (kt)     :  55.0 Range: 22.5 to 121.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  0.4

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    57% is   4.6 times the sample mean(12.2%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    38% is   4.9 times the sample mean( 7.9%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    31% is   6.6 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=    30% is   9.0 times the sample mean( 3.3%)