*   ATLC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS        *
                    *      GOES DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *      OHC  DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *  AL19        AL192010  10/24/10  12 UTC   *

++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++

   ** 2010 ATLANTIC RE-RUN RII AL192010 AL19       10/24/10  12 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):  10.0 Range:-45.0 to  30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  1.8
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   5.2 Range: 26.2 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  1.0
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  70.8 Range:-21.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.5
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   :  76.9 Range: 33.8 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.3
 850-700 MB REL HUM (%):  71.2 Range: 56.0 to  85.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.5
 % area w/pixels <-30 C:  89.0 Range: 17.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  0.1
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :   8.1 Range: 30.6 to   3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  1.2
 Heat content (KJ/cm2) :  73.4 Range:  0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.1

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    48% is   3.9 times the sample mean(12.2%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    40% is   5.1 times the sample mean( 7.9%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    36% is   7.2 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=    34% is  10.8 times the sample mean( 3.3%)

++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++
                    FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND       

AL19       Initial vmax, lat, lon:    70.   16.8   -86.4

 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    43%,   no lightning input, exper. algorithm
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    49%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm

Recent Lightning Density History  (Strikes/km2-year)
Date/Time    Inner core (0-100 km)  Rainband (300-400 km)
10 1024 12  ******                  ******

Sample mean:  21.5                    14.7

 Note: Inner core lightning <  sample mean favors RI
       Rainband lightning   >  sample mean favors RI

++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++
                    FOR JHT     

 ** 2010 EXPERIMENTAL(nudge) ATLANTIC  RI INDEX AL192010 AL19       10/24/10  12 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):  10.0 Range:-49.5 to  33.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  1.5
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   5.2 Range: 28.8 to   2.9 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  1.2
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  70.8 Range:-23.1 to 154.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.4
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   :  76.9 Range: 30.4 to 139.1 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.4/  0.0
 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm:   5.0 Range:100.0 to   0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  0.4
 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP  :  -0.1 Range:  2.4 to  -2.4 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.7
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :   8.1 Range: 33.7 to   2.9 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  1.1
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  73.4 Range:  0.0 to 143.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.5/  0.6
 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2): 330.6 Range:733.7 to  13.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.7
 MAXIMUM WIND (kt)     :  70.0 Range: 22.5 to 121.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.4

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    53% is   4.4 times the sample mean(12.2%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    39% is   4.9 times the sample mean( 7.9%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    32% is   6.7 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=    26% is   7.9 times the sample mean( 3.3%)