*   EPAC RAPID INTENSITY INDEX TESTS        *
                    *      GOES DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *      OHC  DATA AVAILABLE                  *
                    *  EP13        EP132009  08/29/09  06 UTC   *

++++++++ SECTION 1, COPY OF OPERATIONAL RII ++++++++

   ** 2009 E. Pacific Re-run RII EP132009 EP13       08/29/09  06 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):  15.0 Range:-22.0 to  38.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  1.4
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   8.3 Range: 18.7 to   1.4 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.9
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  86.2 Range:-11.0 to 135.3 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.5
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 121.3 Range: 41.9 to 144.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  0.9
 850-700 MB REL HUM (%):  84.2 Range: 57.6 to  96.8 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/ -0.1
 % area w/pixels <-30 C:  70.0 Range: 23.4 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.4
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  12.8 Range: 38.9 to   2.4 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.8
 Heat content (KJ/cm2) :  64.4 Range:  3.6 to  73.7 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  0.7

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    70% is   5.6 times the sample mean(12.5%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    58% is   7.0 times the sample mean( 8.3%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    47% is   8.3 times the sample mean( 5.7%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=    30% is   7.4 times the sample mean( 4.0%)

++++++++ SECTION 2, RII WITH LIGHTNING DATA ++++++++
                    FOR GOES-R PROVING GROUND       

EP13       Initial vmax, lat, lon:    45.   13.9  -101.9

 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    76%,   no lightning input, exper. algorithm
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=     3%, with lightning input, exper. algorithm

Recent Lightning Density History  (Strikes/km2-year)
Date/Time    Inner core (0-100 km)  Rainband (300-400 km)
09 0829 06  ******                  ******

Sample mean:  14.9                     7.9

 Note: Inner core lightning <  sample mean favors RI
       Rainband lightning   >  sample mean favors RI

++++++++ SECTION 3, RII WITH TPW, IR PC AND FLUX +++
                    FOR JHT     

      ** 2009 EXPERIMENTAL(nudge) EPAC  RE-RUN RII E EP13       08/29/09  06 UTC **
           ( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)

 12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT):  15.0 Range:-22.0 to  38.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  1.6
 850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) :   8.3 Range: 18.7 to   1.4 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  1.0
 D200 (10**7s-1)       :  86.2 Range:-11.0 to 135.3 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  0.9
 POT = MPI-VMAX (KT)   : 121.3 Range: 41.9 to 144.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.8/  1.5
 % AREA WITH TPW <45 mm:   0.0 Range: 82.1 to   0.0 Scaled/Wgted Val:  1.0/  0.0
 2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP  :  -0.3 Range:  2.1 to  -1.7 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/ -0.1
 STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP :  12.8 Range: 38.9 to   2.4 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.7/  1.1
 HEAT CONTENT (KJ/cm2) :  64.4 Range:  3.6 to  73.7 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/  1.0
 BL DRY-AIR FLUX (w/m2):  28.6 Range:638.0 to -19.8 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.9/ -1.2
 MAXIMUM WIND (KT)     :  45.0 Range: 22.5 to 115.5 Scaled/Wgted Val:  0.6/  0.7

 Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold=    81% is   6.5 times the sample mean(12.5%)
 Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold=    71% is   8.6 times the sample mean( 8.3%)
 Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    62% is  10.9 times the sample mean( 5.7%)
 Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold=    50% is  12.5 times the sample mean( 4.0%)