SPOTter - NOAA's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory /tag/spotter/ Preparing the nation for change by studying the ocean, earth & atmosphere Mon, 28 Jun 2021 18:11:36 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.5.3 /wp-content/uploads/2018/09/NOAA_logo_512x512-150x150.png SPOTter - NOAA's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory /tag/spotter/ 32 32 An Experimental Outlook Model Shows a Useful Skill for Predicting Seasonal US Tornado Activity /an-experimental-outlook-model-shows-a-useful-skill-for-predicting-seasonal-us-tornado-activity/ Wed, 24 Feb 2021 19:58:00 +0000 /?p=19306 A new paper published in Monthly Weather Review shows some promise for predicting subseasonal to seasonal tornado activity based on how key atmospheric parameters over the US respond to various climate signals, including El Niño and La Niña activity in the Pacific. In this study, a team of researchers from NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, and Climate Prediction Center presented an experimental seasonal tornado outlook model, named SPOTter (Seasonal Probabilistic Outlook for Tornadoes), and evaluated its prediction skill.

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