Constraints imposed by the gyre circulation in the North Atlantic suggest that the southern passages are the most likely location for South Atlantic inflow into the Caribbean (Figure 1). Click to expand the map and interactively access CTDO2 and Lowered ADCP Velocity data. The most complete current and hydrographic survey of the southern passages was conducted in March and April of 1970 and reported in Stalcup and Metcalf (1972, SM72 hereafter ), Metcalf et al. (1971), and Stalcup et al. (1971). SM72 found a total transport through the southern passages of approximately 26 x 106 m3/s (106 m3/s = 1 Sverdrup, hereafter abbreviated Sv), with transports of 9 Sv, 10 Sv, 6 Sv, and 1 Sv through the Grenada, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, and Dominica Passages, respectively. ) SR91 reanalyzed the SM72 data and concluded that 22 of the approximately 30 Sv flowing through the Florida Current is derived from the southern passages, with most of the remainder (7 Sv) coming through Windward Passage. The South Atlantic waters carry a distinctive temperature-salinity-dissolved oxygen signature, being relatively fresher and higher in dissolved oxygen compared to waters from the North Atlantic on the same density surfaces ( Metcalf, 1968; Cochrane, 1969; SR91). Wust's (1964) analysis of historical hydrographic data suggested that flow of these waters into the Caribbean is strongly concentrated in the southernmost passages off the northern coast of South America. However, several surveys in these passages have found waters that were clearly of North Atlantic origin (Metcalf et al., 1971; Mazeika et al., 1980; Parr, 1937), suggesting at least a strong time dependence of the South Atlantic throughflow.
During a cruise stations are occupied in each passage; see Figure 2 passage close-ups inset for the locations of repeated stations in the southern passages. Station velocity profiles are compiled into sections across a passage, and integrated to estimate transport entering or leaving the Caribbean. Profiles of water properties are stored in a database for analysis of property fluxes and water mass origins.
In this program, we have made significant advances in the area of collecting high-quality physical oceanographic measurements using regional ship resources. The standard measurement package used in this program, consisting of a CTD, six-bottle rosette, and 300 kHz Lowered ADCP (Fischer and Visbeck, 1993), can be lowered to depths of 2000 meters using a self-contained electric-hydraulic winch and non-conducting cable. By utilizing smaller, locally based ships, repeat sampling programs in dynamically important regions such as this are more economically sustainable.
Mean velocity sections in the three southernmost passages are shown in Figure 3. Mean velocities in the Dominica Passage were small. Mean total transport through the four southern passages was 9.0 Sv, with an estimated standard error of less than 2.5 Sv, partitioned as follows: Grenada, 5.4 Sv ; St. Vincent, 3.0 Sv; St. Lucia, 1.1 Sv, and Dominica, -0.5 Sv. The range for the total of the three southern passages was 3 Sv to 17 Sv, only slightly larger than the annual variablity predicted by Sverdrup theory and purely wind-driven models; these models, however, predict an approximately zero mean transport. The mean transport through these passages therefore appears to be attributable mainly to the large scale Atlantic thermohaline circulation.
Our mean transports for these passages are significantly smaller than those estimated by Schmitz and Richardson (1991) based on the velocity measurements of Stalcup and Metcalf (1972) in March and April, 1970. We feel that the SM72 values are biased towards high transports and not representative of present mean conditions. Based on our mean transport values and the SR91 percentages of North and South Atlantic waters in each temperature class, we estimate a maximum transport of 7 to 9 Sv of South Atlantic water through the southern passages, compared to SR91's estimate of 13 Sv. Continuing field measurements and analysis of temperature, salinity, and dissolved oxygen data will further refine this estimate.
Based on our smaller total transport values, we estimate that roughly 20 Sv of the Florida Current's 30 Sv transport must enter the Caribbean north of Dominica. This is twice as much as required by SR91, but not unreasonable. Approximately 8 Sv could be entering through the Windward Passage (Roemmich, 1981) and 2 Sv through the Bahamas (Leaman et al., 1995). This leaves 10 Sv to enter through the northern passages between Hispaniola and Dominica, just about the amount suggested by the mean Sverdrup transport streamlines. Unfortunately, insufficient observations exist in the northern passages to verify these estimates. Assuming a maximum of 7 to 9 Sv of South Atlantic inflow through the southern passages and 14 Sv of North Atlantic Deep Water exported, a significant amount of South Atlantic water appears to take a different route northward. Some may enter through the northern passages, probably water from the North Brazil Current (NBC) retroflection carried northward in the surface layers and returning eastward in the North Equatorial Current (NEC); this would likely have a seasonal signal dependent on interaction between the NBC annual cycle and NEC axis location. Again, transport and water mass measurements in the northern passages are necessary for verification. There may also be South Atlantic water transport that does not go through the Straits of Florida and need not be considered in this balance. Finally, our lower South Atlantic water transport values may accurately represent the entire total at this time; little is known about variability in the strength of the Atlantic meridional overturning cell on interannual and decadal time scales.
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