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Hurricane Landfall Forecast Accuracy

Principal Investigators :
Mark Powell

Group Members:
A student

Objective:
To document continued performance of official forecast of the location and time of landfall.

Accomplishments:
Landfall forecast for 2002 and 2003 were archived by Sim.

References :

Powell, M. D., and S. D. Aberson, 2001: "Accuracy of United States tropical cyclone landfall forecasts in the Atlantic basin 1976-2000" Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 82.

FY04 proposed milestones:
Bring year 2000 study up to date by compiling error statistics for 2001, 2002, and 2003. Create a web page that tracks performance in landfall forecasting.

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Last modified: 5/16/2003