Table 1. The predictors and rapid intensification (RI) thresholds used to estimate the probability of RI.

Predictor

Definition

RI Threshold

PER (kt) Previous 12 h intensity change 8.9
SST (C) 24 h average sea-surface temperature 28.4
POT (kt) 24 h average Maximum Potential Intensity - Initial(T=0) Storm Intensity 92.3
SHR (kt) 24 h average 850 to 200 MB vertical shear 11.1
RHLO (%) 24 h average 850 to 700 MB relative humidity 69.1