Hurricane Track Forecasting

Principal Investigators:
Sim Aberson
Mark Powell

Objectives:
To improve our basic physical understanding and forecasts of tropical cyclone motion. To use targeting of dropsonde observations to improve numerical forecasts. Study use of ensemble forecast methods in improving forecast scores, and track any improvements in landfall forecasts.

Investigations

• Synoptic surveillance and targeting
• Landfall forecast accuracy

Reference:

Burpee, R. W., J. L. Franklin, S. J. Lord, R. E. Tuleya, and S. D. Aberson, 1996: The impact of omega dropwindsondes on operational hurricane track forecast models. Bull. Amer. Meteor Soc, 77, 925-933.