********************************************************************************
1873/01: No major changes from Partagas and Diaz (1995b). Track
unaltered from Neumann et al. (1993). Inland decay model of Kaplan
and DeMaria (1995) utilized for inland winds over Georgia. The best
track provided appears to describe the full life cycle of this tropical
cyclone (from its formation as a tropical storm until its dissipation
below tropical depression strength).
********************************************************************************
1873/02: No major changes from Partagas and Diaz (1995b), who made
large alterations to the track shown in Neumann et al. (1993). These
track changes are found to be reasonable. 962 mb central pressure
suggests 88 kt from the northern wind-pressure relationship - 90 kt used
in best track. Storm is determined to have reached major hurricane
status for the two days before the above central pressure measurement
was made at latitude 44N. The best track provided appears to describe
the full life cycle of this tropical cyclone (from its formation as a
tropical storm to its peak as a major hurricane until its dissipation as
an extratropical cyclone).
1873/02 - 2003 REVISION:
04550 08/13/1873 M=16 2 SNBR= 147 NOT NAMED XING=0 SSS=0
04550 08/13/1873 M=16 2 SNBR= 150 NOT NAMED XING=0 SSS=0
***
04555 08/13*139 250 40 0*140 260 40 0*140 270 40 0*141 281 40 0
04560 08/14*141 293 50 0*142 306 50 0*143 320 50 0*144 330 50 0
04565 08/15*145 344 50 0*145 359 50 0*145 373 50 0*146 384 50 0
04570 08/16*147 397 60 0*148 412 60 0*150 427 60 0*153 440 60 0
04575 08/17*156 455 70 0*160 470 70 0*165 490 70 0*169 505 70 0
04580 08/18*175 520 70 0*182 536 70 0*187 550 70 0*195 564 70 0
04585 08/19*202 579 80 0*212 595 80 0*220 610 80 0*229 621 80 0
04590 08/20*239 635 80 0*249 646 80 0*260 656 80 0*268 666 80 0
04595 08/21*278 673 90 0*290 678 90 0*303 683 90 0*310 684 90 0
04595 08/21*278 673 90 0*290 678 90 0*303 682 90 0*310 684 90 0
***
04600 08/22*317 685 90 0*325 686 90 0*333 685 90 0*343 683 90 0
04605 08/23*352 680 100 0*360 676 100 0*370 670 100 0*383 664 100 0
04610 08/24*395 658 100 0*409 646 100 0*420 635 90 0*430 614 90 0
04615 08/25*437 589 90 962*444 566 90 0*450 550 80 0*457 543 80 0
04620 08/26*460 541 80 0*465 541 80 0*470 540 70 0*474 540 70 0
04625 08/27*478 539 70 0*482 537 70 0E485 535 60 0E494 526 60 0
04630 08/28E504 513 60 0E510 498 60 0E520 480 50 0E530 460 50 0
04635 HR
Minor track alteration on the 21st for more realistic motion.
********************************************************************************
1873/03: No major changes from Partagas and Diaz (1995b), who made
reasonable small alterations to the track shown in Neumann et al. (1993).
Pressure reading of 992 mb not in hurricane's center (at 12 UTC, 19th of
September) suggests winds of at least 59 kt from the Gulf of Mexico wind-
pressure relationship - 70 kt chosen for best track. Inland decay
model of Kaplan and DeMaria (1995) utilized for inland winds over the
SE United States. Storm is determined to have reached hurricane force
in the Gulf of Mexico based upon destruction that occurred in Tallahassee,
Florida; storm regained hurricane strength in the Atlantic based upon above
peripheral surface pressure report along with several ship observations.
********************************************************************************
1873/04: No major changes from Partagas and Diaz (1995b). Track
unaltered from Neumann et al. (1993). Inland decay model of Kaplan
and DeMaria (1995) utilized for inland winds over Florida.
********************************************************************************
1873/05: No major changes from Partagas and Diaz (1995b), who made
large alterations to the track reasonably shown in Neumann et al.
(1993). These track changes are found to be reasonable. Inland decay
model of Kaplan and DeMaria (1995) utilized for inland winds over
Hispanola, Cuba and the SE United States. Used an accelerated decay
rate over Cuba to account for enhanced topography. Pressure reading
of 969 mb not in hurricane's center (on 12 UTC, September 28th) suggests
winds of at least 91 kt from the southern wind-pressure relationship -
100 kt chosen for best track. Pressure reading of 971 mb not
in hurricane's center (on 00 UTC, September 29th) suggests winds of
at least 88 kt - 90 kt chosen for best track. Estimate of 959 mb for
central pressure at landfall in SW Florida from Ho (1989) appears
reasonable and matches SLOSH modeling work by Jarvinen (1990).
959 mb central pressure suggests 101 kt from the Gulf of Mexico
wind-pressure relationship - 100 kt chosen for the best track. Storm tide
value of 14' at Punta Rassa, Florida from Partagas and Diaz (1995b). Storm
is determined to have reached major hurricane status on the 28th of
September based upon peripheral surface pressure reading of 969 mb and
destruction that occurred in Jacmal, Haiti. Storm regained major
hurricane status on the 7th of October based upon the estimate of central
pressure of 959 mb and surge/destruction in Punta Rassa.
1873/05 - 2003 REVISION:
04690 09/26/1873 M=15 5 SNBR= 150 NOT NAMED XING=1 SSS=3
04690 09/26/1873 M=15 5 SNBR= 153 NOT NAMED XING=1 SSS=3
***
04695 09/26*147 623 40 0*148 631 40 0*150 640 50 0*153 651 50 0
04700 09/27*157 665 60 0*160 676 60 0*162 690 70 0*166 701 70 0
04705 09/28*169 711 80 0*174 723 90 0*180 730 100 0*190 739 90 0
04710 09/29*197 745 90 0*202 755 80 0*202 765 60 0*202 771 50 0
04715 09/30*201 778 40 0*200 784 40 0*200 790 40 0*201 796 40 0
04720 10/01*201 801 40 0*201 806 40 0*200 810 40 0*200 814 40 0
04725 10/02*200 818 50 0*200 821 50 0*200 825 50 0*200 828 50 0
04730 10/03*200 831 60 0*200 836 60 0*200 840 70 0*200 846 70 0
04735 10/04*200 851 70 0*201 856 70 0*202 860 80 0*206 861 80 0
04735 10/04*200 851 70 0*201 856 70 0*202 860 80 0*204 861 80 0
***
04740 10/05*210 864 80 0*212 865 80 0*215 865 90 0*219 864 90 0
04740 10/05*208 864 80 0*212 865 80 0*215 865 90 0*219 864 90 0
***
04745 10/06*224 861 90 0*230 859 90 0*237 855 100 0*247 841 100 0
04750 10/07*262 825 100 959*281 803 80 0*297 786 80 0*311 771 80 0
04755 10/08*324 756 90 0*337 741 90 0*350 726 80 0*363 709 80 0
04760 10/09*375 685 70 0*388 661 70 0E395 645 60 0E400 630 60 0
04765 10/10E405 615 60 0E410 600 60 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0
04770 HRBFL3CFL2DFL1
Track slightly altered to provide a more realistic motion.
********************************************************************************