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The Third Hurricane CBLAST
PI Winter Meeting

Atlantic Oceanographic and
Meteorological Laboratory
Miami, Florida
February 18 - 20, 2004

The Third Hurricane CBLAST PI Winter Meeting will be held at AOML in Miami, 18-20 February, 2004. We will begin at 9 am, Wed, 18 Feb and wrap up by noon on Friday, 20 Feb. The meeting will be co-hosted by Shuyi Chen (U Mimai/RSMAS) and Peter Black (AOML/HRD).

This year we want to continue the process of merging observational and modeling components of CBLAST in addressing the high wind flux problem with a view toward developing an implementation plan for new hurricane model parameterizations and testing procedures in Hurricane WRF development.

This will be an important and crucial meeting for Hurricane CBLAST. We need to address the following major themes:

  1. Summarize initial observational results from the 2003 flights into Hurricanes Fabian and Isabel.
  2. Data archival status and strategy on the UMASS web site including needed updates and changes to the procedures.
  3. Discussion of possible new flight pattern strategies dictated by excessive salt contamination of aircraft engines and instrumentation during the 2003 flights.
  4. Identify holes in the observational strategy based on 2003 observations, i.e. AXBT observations, and recent numerical modeling studies. Re-asses observational requirements identified by recent hurricane modeling studies.
  5. Identify strategies to fill those gaps during the 2004 season.
  6. Discuss preparations for instrument re-installation on the WP-3 aircraft for 2004 and this years' early timetable.
  7. Identify the results that are new and unique and that require further analysis and funding support. Discuss strategy for follow-on analysis support and development of an implementation plan for numerical model improvements.
  8. Discuss plans for publication in a special journal issue of papers on initial CBLAST results.

Plan on using the first day, or fraction thereof, for short power point presentations of where we stand on initial results from last summer's observations (2003) and recent numerical model results. The second day will be for addressing where we go from here regarding plans and strategies for 2004 observations from the P-3's and numerical model experiments. Friday morning will be reserved for discussing future funding options and preparations of materials that are required for follow-on activities. This is especially important in view of the support required for 2005 to analyze last years data sets and new data sets from 2004 as well as laying the ground work for implementing new results and parameterizations so that the hard work of these observational years can be translated ultimately into better hurricane intensity forecasts.


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