Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
AVNN | 0 | 0 | 53 | 71 | 115 | 170 | 417 | 454 | 233 |
| AVNO | 10 | 30 | 62 | 92 | 96 | 53 | 204 | 253 | 90 |
| %IMP | und% | und% | -17% | -30% | 17% | 69% | 51% | 44% | 61% |
| GFNO | 11 | 59 | 114 | 209 | 360 | 547 | 879 | 782 | 475 |
| GFDL | 0 | 24 | 70 | 83 | 111 | 178 | 267 | 526 | 834 |
| %IMP | 100% | 59% | 39% | 60% | 69% | 67% | 51% | 33% | -76% |
| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | -46 | -24 | -27 | -18 | -21 | -46 | -35 | -4 | 3 |
| AVNO | -27 | -18 | -13 | -16 | -12 | -46 | -36 | -4 | 7 |
| %IMP | 41% | 25% | 52% | 11% | 43% | 0% | -3% | 0% | -133% |
| GFNO | -23 | -29 | -26 | -32 | -31 | -25 | -12 | 1 | 23 |
| GFDL | -5 | -5 | -7 | -10 | -5 | -27 | -26 | 12 | 11 |
| %IMP | 78% | 83% | 73% | 69% | 84% | -8% | -116% | -1100% | 52% |
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22/0330 UTC 20.8N 86.9W near Puerto Morelos, Mexico 3.5 h into the forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
AVNN | 20.75 | 86.96 | 5.0 | 7.7 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| AVNO | 20.72 | 86.98 | 2.5 | 12.2 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | 33% | -58%
| GFNO | 20.80 | 86.92 | 4.0 | 2.1 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| GFDL | 20.74 | 86.97 | 4.0 | 9.9 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | 0% | -371%
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24/1030 UTC 25.9N 81.7W near Cape Romano, FL 58.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 26.08 | 81.76 | 61.0 | 20.9 | Naples, FL
| AVNO | 26.50 | 81.90 | 60.0 | 69.6 | Cape Coral, FL
| %IMP | 40% | -233%
| GFNO | 25.49 | 81.24 | 68.0 | 64.8 | Near Flamingo, FL
| GFDL | 26.60 | 81.93 | 57.5 | 81.1 | Cape Coral, FL
| %IMP | 89% | -25%
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