Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
AVNN | 22 | 45 | 49 | 117 | 123 | 222 | 206 | 222 | 176 | 45
| AVNO | 31 | 73 | 116 | 185 | 192 | 177 | 235 | 436 | 467 | 471
| %IMP | -41% | -62% | -137% | -58% | -56% | 20% | -14% | -96% | -165% | -946%
| GFNO | 24 | 43 | 76 | 140 | 151 | 198 | 276 | 481 | 830 | 1404
| GFDL | 43 | 62 | 95 | 163 | 187 | 256 | 376 | 580 | 971 | 1432
| %IMP | -79% | -44% | -29% | -16% | -24% | -29% | -36% | -21% | -16% | -2%
| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | -51 | -28 | -21 | -20 | -29 | -37 | -43 | -20 | 9 | 11
| AVNO | -34 | -21 | -28 | -28 | -42 | -38 | -40 | -11 | 8 | 11
| %IMP | 33% | 25% | -33% | -40% | -45% | -3% | 7% | 36% | 11% | 0%
| GFNO | -29 | -19 | -9 | -12 | -34 | -17 | -18 | -13 | 7 | 18
| GFDL | -25 | -17 | -10 | -13 | -27 | -14 | -21 | -15 | 12 | 9
| %IMP | 14% | 11% | -11% | 8% | 21% | 18% | -17% | -15% | -71% | 50%
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21/2145 UTC 20.6N 86.8W on Cozumel, Mexico, 3.75 h into the forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
AVNN | 20.87 | 86.88 | 9.5 | 31.1 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| AVNO | 20.42 | 86.84 | 3.0 | 20.4 | Cozumel, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | 84% | 34%
| GFNO | 20.41 | 86.85 | 3.5 | 21.7 | Cozumel, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| GFDL | 20.41 | 86.85 | 2.0 | 21.7 | Cozumel, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | -600% | 0%
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22/0330 UTC 20.8N 86.9W near Puerto Morelos, Mexico 9.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 20.87 | 86.88 | 9.5 | 8.0 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| AVNO | 20.61 | 87.07 | 7.5 | 27.5 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | und% | -244%
| GFNO | 20.59 | 87.10 | 9.5 | 31.2 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| GFDL | 20.53 | 87.20 | 7.5 | 43.3 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | und% | -39%
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24/1030 UTC 25.9N 81.7W near Cape Romano, FL 64.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 26.76 | 82.16 | 62.5 | 106.0 | Cape Coral, FL
| AVNO | 26.89 | 82.32 | 68.0 | 126.1 | Port Charlotte, FL
| %IMP | -75% | -19%
| GFNO | 26.61 | 81.88 | 69.0 | 80.9 | Cape Coral, FL
| GFDL | 26.47 | 82.13 | 69.5 | 65.8 | Cape Coral, FL
| %IMP | -11% | 17%
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